Game Information
| Week | Week 11 |
| Date | Saturday, November 14, 2009 |
| Time | 3:00 PM |
| Location | Gerald J. Ford Stadium, Dallas, TX |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 159 | UTEP | +7.0 | 63.5 | +218 |
| 160 | SMU | -7.0 | -245 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| S Methodist | Power Ratings | S Methodist 76% odds to win | |
| S Methodist | Similar Games | S Methodist 78% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMU -7.0 | Power Ratings | S Methodist wins by 9.6 | |
| SMU -7.0 | Similar Games - Odds | S Methodist 55% odds to cover | |
| SMU -7.0 | Similar Games - Pts | S Methodist wins by 7.8 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 63.5 | Similar Games | 60% odds to go over 63.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMU -250 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 4% different from model | |
| SMU -250 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 7% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | UTEP | adv | SMU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 29.8 | 29.1 | |
| Points/Play | 0.424 | 0.429 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -3.7 | +1.1 | |
| Yards/Game | 425.4 | 394.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.0 | 5.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.560% | 51.758% | |
| SOS PR | 18.1 | 21.8 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | UTEP | adv | SMU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 33.5 | 28.0 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.449 | 0.385 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 446.3 | 391.8 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.0 | 5.4 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.5 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.2 | -0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 68.7 | 64.1 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | UTEP | adv | SMU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5 | 6-2 | |
| Streak | W1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 3-3 | 4-1 | |
| Away | 1-5 | 3-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | UTEP | adv | SMU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7-0 | 7-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 3-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Away | 2-4-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||