Game Information
| Week | Week 11 |
| Date | Saturday, November 14, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Groves Stadium, Winston-Salem, NC |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 131 | FSU | +5.0 | 58.0 | +180 |
| 132 | WAKE | -5.0 | -200 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wake Forest | Power Ratings | Wake Forest 58% odds to win | |
| Wake Forest | Similar Games | Wake Forest 67% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| FSU +5.0 | Power Ratings | Florida St loses by 2.5 | |
| FSU +5.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Florida St 52% odds to cover | |
| WAKE -5.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Wake Forest wins by 5.1 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 57.5 | Similar Games | 56% odds to go over 57.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| FSU +184 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 6% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | FSU | adv | WAKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 31.0 | 25.5 | |
| Points/Play | 0.453 | 0.349 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -0.8 | -2.5 | |
| Yards/Game | 422.8 | 401.4 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.2 | 5.5 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 51.824% | 53.151% | |
| SOS PR | 33.2 | 30.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | FSU | adv | WAKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 31.8 | 28.0 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.486 | 0.409 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 443.2 | 394.0 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.8 | 5.8 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.2 | 1.4 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | -0.3 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 62.2 | 55.3 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | FSU | adv | WAKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6 | 5-7 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4 | 3-5 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 2-3 | 3-3 | |
| Away | 4-3 | 1-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | FSU | adv | WAKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8-0 | 5-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 2-6-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 0-5-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 4-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||