Game Information
| Week | Week 11 |
| Date | Saturday, November 14, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Beaver Stadium, University Park, PA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 127 | IND | +24.0 | 56.0 | +1400 |
| 128 | PSU | -24.0 | -2300 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Penn State | Power Ratings | Penn State 84% odds to win | |
| Penn State | Similar Games | Penn State 93% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND +24.5 | Power Ratings | Indiana loses by 14.6 | |
| PSU -24.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Penn State 51% odds to cover | |
| IND +24.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Indiana loses by 19.5 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 56.0 | Similar Games | 58% odds to go over 56.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND +1400 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 9% different from model | |
| IND +1400 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | IND | adv | PSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 23.9 | 26.9 | |
| Points/Play | 0.348 | 0.395 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -7.1 | +13.9 | |
| Yards/Game | 361.9 | 394.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.3 | 5.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.642% | 55.149% | |
| SOS PR | 28.2 | 32.9 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | IND | adv | PSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 31.0 | 13.0 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.427 | 0.200 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 403.1 | 280.2 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.5 | 4.3 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.5 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.8 | +0.4 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 50.5 | 32.2 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | IND | adv | PSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8 | 10-2 | |
| vs Conference | 1-7 | 6-2 | |
| Streak | L5 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 2-3 | 5-2 | |
| Away | 1-5 | 5-0 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | IND | adv | PSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-4-0 | 6-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 3-2-0 | 1-6-0 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 5-0-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||