| Week | Week 11 |
| Date | Saturday, November 14, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Liberty Bowl, Memphis, TN |
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 151 | UAB | -1.5 | 63.5 | -113 |
| 152 | MEM | +1.5 | +102 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UAB | Power Ratings | UAB 69% odds to win | |
| UAB | Similar Games | UAB 62% odds to win |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UAB -1.5 | Power Ratings | UAB wins by 6.5 | |
| UAB -1.5 | Similar Games - Odds | UAB 56% odds to cover | |
| UAB -1.5 | Similar Games - Pts | UAB wins by 4.4 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 63.5 | Similar Games | 53% odds to go under 63.5 points |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UAB -113 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 16% different from model | |
| UAB -113 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 9% different from model |
| Stat | UAB | adv | MEM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 27.8 | 20.1 | |
| Points/Play | 0.430 | 0.281 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -4.6 | -16.6 | |
| Yards/Game | 425.9 | 365.2 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.6 | 5.1 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.593% | 47.083% | |
| SOS PR | 22.1 | 24.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Stat | UAB | adv | MEM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 32.3 | 36.7 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.443 | 0.505 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 453.3 | 462.2 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.2 | 6.4 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 1.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.8 | -0.6 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 68.7 | 55.8 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Record | UAB | adv | MEM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7 | 2-10 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4 | 1-7 | |
| Streak | L2 | L6 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 1-9 | |
| Home | 3-2 | 1-4 | |
| Away | 2-5 | 0-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
| Record | UAB | adv | MEM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7-0 | 2-9-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 2-6-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Away | 2-5-0 | 1-5-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||