Game Information
| Week | Week 11 |
| Date | Saturday, November 14, 2009 |
| Time | 3:30 PM |
| Location | Kenan Stadium, Chapel Hill, NC |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 189 | MIFL | -3.0 | 43.0 | -134 |
| 190 | UNC | +3.0 | +121 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami (FL) | Power Ratings | Miami (FL) 61% odds to win | |
| Miami (FL) | Similar Games | Miami (FL) 52% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIFL -3.0 | Power Ratings | Miami (FL) wins by 3.5 | |
| UNC +3.0 | Similar Games - Odds | N Carolina 52% odds to cover | |
| UNC +3.0 | Similar Games - Pts | N Carolina loses by 2.6 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 43.0 | Similar Games | 55% odds to go over 43.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIFL -152 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 1% different from model | |
| UNC +137 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 6% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MIFL | adv | UNC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 28.8 | 20.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.409 | 0.313 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +6.2 | +2.1 | |
| Yards/Game | 394.1 | 303.4 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.6 | 4.6 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 50.710% | 50.696% | |
| SOS PR | 32.8 | 32.5 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MIFL | adv | UNC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 22.7 | 18.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.344 | 0.276 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 335.2 | 289.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.1 | 4.3 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.7 | 1.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.1 | -0.1 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 56.4 | 57.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MIFL | adv | UNC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-3 | 8-4 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3 | 4-4 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 4-1 | 3-2 | |
| Away | 4-3 | 3-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MIFL | adv | UNC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6-0 | 5-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Away | 3-4-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||