Game Information
| Week | Week 11 |
| Date | Saturday, November 14, 2009 |
| Time | 3:30 PM |
| Location | Scott Stadium, Charlottesville, VA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | BCOL | -4.5 | 44.0 | -185 |
| 118 | UVA | +4.5 | +166 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col | Power Ratings | Boston Col 65% odds to win | |
| Virginia | Similar Games | Virginia 52% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BCOL -4.5 | Power Ratings | Boston Col wins by 4.7 | |
| UVA +4.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Virginia 59% odds to cover | |
| UVA +4.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Virginia loses by 0.7 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 44.0 | Similar Games | 54% odds to go over 44.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| UVA +175 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 15% different from model | |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | BCOL | adv | UVA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 22.3 | 19.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.343 | 0.295 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +0.9 | -6.5 | |
| Yards/Game | 314.2 | 269.7 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.8 | 4.0 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.434% | 45.803% | |
| SOS PR | 28.7 | 30.8 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | BCOL | adv | UVA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 21.4 | 26.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.299 | 0.366 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 344.0 | 362.9 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.8 | 5.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.9 | 1.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.2 | +0.5 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 45.5 | 53.1 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | BCOL | adv | UVA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4 | 3-9 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3 | 2-6 | |
| Streak | L1 | L6 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 5-1 | 1-5 | |
| Away | 2-4 | 2-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | BCOL | adv | UVA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6-0 | 6-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | L4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 5-1-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| Away | 1-5-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||