Game Information
| Week | Week 11 |
| Date | Thursday, November 12, 2009 |
| Time | 6:00 PM |
| Location | Huskie Stadium, DeKalb, IL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 109 | BALL | +16.5 | 46.5 | +509 |
| 110 | NILL | -16.5 | -615 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| N Illinois | Power Ratings | N Illinois 87% odds to win | |
| N Illinois | Similar Games | N Illinois 79% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NILL -17.0 | Power Ratings | N Illinois wins by 17.1 | |
| BALL +17.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Ball State 64% odds to cover | |
| BALL +17.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Ball State loses by 12.7 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 46.0 | Similar Games | 57% odds to go over 46.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| BALL +569 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 6% different from model | |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | BALL | adv | NILL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 19.5 | 27.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.300 | 0.436 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -9.2 | +4.8 | |
| Yards/Game | 309.1 | 341.0 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.8 | 5.4 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.008% | 52.468% | |
| SOS PR | 14.6 | 17.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | BALL | adv | NILL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 28.6 | 22.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.411 | 0.357 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 392.5 | 338.8 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.6 | 5.3 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.7 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.4 | +0.5 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 43.0 | 47.3 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | BALL | adv | NILL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 2-10 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 2-6 | 5-3 | |
| Streak | W1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 0-5 | 4-1 | |
| Away | 2-4 | 2-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | BALL | adv | NILL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-5-0 | 5-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Away | 5-1-0 | 2-5-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||