Miami at Indiana: Recap

Saturday Jan 10, 2026 7:00 pm - Indianapolis, IN
Odds: Miami by 6.5, Total Points: 235.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MIA 70.4%
IND 29.6%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIA -6.5 MIA 50.5%
IND 49.5%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 235.5 Over 46.4%
Under 53.6%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -1.0%
IND -3.7%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 120.0 121.0 99
IND 113.4 114.5 123

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA IND
Points/Game 119.6 111.1
Avg Score Margin +2.4 -7.5
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 17.8 13.4
Pts in Paint/Gm 54.0 45.6
Assists/Game 28.6 26.1
Total Rebounds/Gm 55.7 51.4
Effective FG % 53.3% 52.1%
Off Rebound % 25.3% 22.4%
FTA/FGA 0.264 0.264
Turnover % 11.8% 12.3%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA IND
Opp Points/Game 117.2 118.6
Opp Effective FG % 53.2% 54.8%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 52.2 54.2
Off Rebounds/Gm 12.0 10.3
Def Rebounds/Gm 34.8 32.3
Blocks/Game 4.2 4.8
Steals/Game 9.3 7.4
Personal Fouls/Gm 19.1 21.9