Miami at Indiana: Recap

Saturday Jan 10, 2026 7:00 pm - Indianapolis, IN
Odds: Miami by 6.5, Total Points: 235.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MIA 70.4%
IND 29.6%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIA -6.5 MIA 50.5%
IND 49.5%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 235.5 Over 46.4%
Under 53.6%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -1.0%
IND -3.7%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 120.0 121.0 99
IND 113.4 114.5 123

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA IND
Points/Game 119.5 110.2
Avg Score Margin +1.6 -8.2
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 17.7 13.5
Pts in Paint/Gm 54.3 45.1
Assists/Game 28.5 25.0
Total Rebounds/Gm 54.5 51.8
Effective FG % 53.8% 51.2%
Off Rebound % 24.0% 23.1%
FTA/FGA 0.260 0.272
Turnover % 11.9% 12.2%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA IND
Opp Points/Game 117.9 118.4
Opp Effective FG % 53.4% 54.8%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 52.4 53.6
Off Rebounds/Gm 11.2 10.8
Def Rebounds/Gm 34.3 31.9
Blocks/Game 4.4 5.0
Steals/Game 9.3 7.5
Personal Fouls/Gm 19.4 22.4