Miami at Indiana: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Jan 10, 2026 7:00 pm - Indianapolis, IN
Odds: Miami by 6.5, Total Points: 235.5

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Miami -6.5 Official TR Pick Miami 51% odds to cover
Miami -6.5 Decision Tree Miami 51% odds to cover
Miami -6.5 Similar Games Miami 51% odds to cover
Indiana +6.5 Power Rating Model Indiana 52% odds to cover
Indiana +6.5 Predictive Ratings Indiana 53% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MIA adv IND
Season 32-24-0 28-27-0
vs Division 6-3-0 7-5-0
vs Conference 18-13-0 19-18-0
Streak W1 W2
Last 5 3-2-0 2-3-0
Last 10 6-4-0 6-4-0
Home 14-13-0 17-11-0
Away 18-11-0 11-16-0

Miami Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/22 Away Orlando +8.0 L by 4 +4.0
10/24 Away Memphis +3.0 W by 32 +35.0
10/26 Home New York +3.5 W by 8 +11.5
10/28 Home Charlotte -6.5 W by 27 +20.5
10/30 Away San Antonio +5.5 L by 6 -0.5
11/02 Away LA Lakers +5.0 L by 10 -5.0
11/03 Away LA Clippers +8.0 W by 1 +9.0
11/05 Away Denver +9.5 L by 10 -0.5
11/07 Home Charlotte -7.5 W by 18 +10.5
11/08 Home Portland +3.5 W by 5 +8.5
11/10 Home Cleveland +7.5 W by 2 +9.5
11/12 Home Cleveland -5.5 L by 14 -19.5
11/14 Away New York +6.5 L by 8 -1.5
11/17 Home New York -1.5 W by 2 +0.5
11/19 Home Golden State -9.5 W by 14 +4.5
11/21 Away Chicago +2.5 W by 36 +38.5
11/23 Away Philadelphia +1.5 W by 10 +11.5
11/24 Home Dallas -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
11/26 Home Milwaukee -10.5 W by 3 -7.5
11/29 Home Detroit -3.5 L by 3 -6.5
12/01 Home LA Clippers -6.5 W by 17 +10.5
12/03 Away Dallas -4.5 L by 10 -14.5
12/05 Away Orlando +6.5 L by 1 +5.5
12/06 Home Sacramento -8.5 L by 16 -24.5
12/09 Away Orlando +1.5 L by 9 -7.5
12/15 Home Toronto -4.5 L by 10 -14.5
12/18 Away Brooklyn -8.5 W by 11 +2.5
12/19 Away Boston +7.5 L by 13 -5.5
12/21 Away New York +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
12/23 Home Toronto -5.5 L by 21 -26.5
12/26 Away Atlanta +2.5 W by 15 +17.5
12/27 Home Indiana -6.5 W by 26 +19.5
12/29 Home Denver +1.5 W by 24 +25.5
01/01 Away Detroit +4.5 W by 6 +10.5
01/03 Home Minnesota +2.5 L by 10 -7.5
01/04 Home New Orleans -7.5 W by 19 +11.5
01/06 Away Minnesota +5.5 L by 28 -22.5
01/10 Away Indiana -6.5 L by 24 -30.5
01/11 Away Okla City +15.5 L by 12 +3.5
01/13 Home Phoenix -1.5 W by 6 +4.5
01/15 Home Boston +2.5 L by 5 -2.5
01/17 Home Okla City +11.5 W by 2 +13.5
01/19 Away Golden State +5.5 L by 23 -17.5
01/20 Away Sacramento -4.5 W by 13 +8.5
01/22 Away Portland +3.5 L by 17 -13.5
01/24 Away Utah -6.5 W by 31 +24.5
01/25 Away Phoenix +4.5 W by 9 +13.5
01/28 Home Orlando -3.5 L by 9 -12.5
01/29 Away Chicago -2.5 W by 3 +0.5
01/31 Home Chicago -5.5 L by 7 -12.5
02/01 Home Chicago -5.5 W by 43 +37.5
02/03 Home Atlanta -1.5 L by 12 -13.5
02/06 Away Boston +5.5 L by 2 +3.5
02/08 Away Washington -12.5 W by 31 +18.5
02/09 Home Utah -6.5 L by 4 -10.5
02/11 Away New Orleans +1.5 W by 12 +13.5

Indiana Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/23 Home Okla City +7.5 L by 6 +1.5
10/25 Away Memphis +2.0 L by 25 -23.0
10/26 Away Minnesota +12.0 L by 4 +8.0
10/29 Away Dallas +5.5 L by 2 +3.5
10/31 Home Atlanta +2.5 L by 20 -17.5
11/01 Home Golden State +11.0 W by 5 +16.0
11/03 Home Milwaukee +6.5 L by 2 +4.5
11/05 Home Brooklyn -6.5 L by 9 -15.5
11/08 Away Denver +9.5 L by 17 -7.5
11/09 Away Golden State +12.5 L by 31 -18.5
11/11 Away Utah -2.5 L by 24 -26.5
11/13 Away Phoenix +3.5 L by 35 -31.5
11/15 Home Toronto +6.5 L by 18 -11.5
11/17 Away Detroit +8.5 L by 15 -6.5
11/19 Home Charlotte +1.5 W by 9 +10.5
11/21 Away Cleveland +13.5 L by 11 +2.5
11/24 Home Detroit +9.5 L by 5 +4.5
11/26 Away Toronto +10.5 L by 2 +8.5
11/28 Home Washington -6.5 W by 33 +26.5
11/29 Home Chicago +2.5 W by 2 +4.5
12/01 Home Cleveland +4.5 L by 16 -11.5
12/03 Home Denver +8.5 L by 15 -6.5
12/05 Away Chicago +4.5 W by 15 +19.5
12/08 Home Sacramento -3.5 W by 11 +7.5
12/12 Away Philadelphia +5.5 L by 10 -4.5
12/14 Home Washington -10.5 L by 19 -29.5
12/18 Home New York +3.5 L by 1 +2.5
12/20 Away New Orleans +2.5 L by 19 -16.5
12/22 Away Boston +11.5 L by 8 +3.5
12/23 Home Milwaukee +1.5 L by 17 -15.5
12/26 Home Boston +8.5 L by 18 -9.5
12/27 Away Miami +6.5 L by 26 -19.5
12/29 Away Houston +12.5 L by 7 +5.5
12/31 Home Orlando +4.5 L by 2 +2.5
01/02 Home San Antonio +5.5 L by 10 -4.5
01/04 Away Orlando +6.5 L by 8 -1.5
01/06 Home Cleveland +6.5 L by 4 +2.5
01/08 Away Charlotte +4.5 W by 2 +6.5
01/10 Home Miami +6.5 W by 24 +30.5
01/12 Home Boston +5.5 W by 2 +7.5
01/14 Home Toronto -1.5 L by 14 -15.5
01/16 Home New Orleans -4.5 W by 8 +3.5
01/17 Away Detroit +15.5 L by 43 -27.5
01/19 Away Philadelphia +6.5 L by 9 -2.5
01/21 Away Boston +10.5 L by 15 -4.5
01/23 Away Okla City +15.5 W by 3 +18.5
01/26 Away Atlanta +5.5 L by 16 -10.5
01/28 Home Chicago +2.0 W by 3 +5.0
01/31 Home Atlanta +1.5 W by 5 +6.5
02/02 Home Houston +6.5 L by 4 +2.5
02/03 Home Utah +2.5 L by 9 -6.5
02/06 Away Milwaukee -1.5 L by 6 -7.5
02/08 Away Toronto +8.5 L by 18 -9.5
02/10 Away New York +11.5 W by 3 +14.5
02/11 Away Brooklyn +6.5 W by 5 +11.5