Miami at Indiana: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Jan 10, 2026 7:00 pm - Indianapolis, IN
Odds: Miami by 6.5, Total Points: 235.5

Matchup Menu: MIA @ IND

More Games From Jan 10, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Under 235.5 Official TR Pick 54% odds to go under
Under 235.5 Decision Tree 54% odds to go under
Under 235.5 Similar Games 61% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record MIA IND
Season 28-28-0 23-32-0
vs Division 4-5-0 3-9-0
vs Conference 13-18-0 14-23-0
Streak Ov 1 Ov 2
Last 5 2-3-0 3-2-0
Last 10 4-6-0 7-3-0
Home 14-13-0 13-15-0
Away 14-15-0 10-17-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Miami Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
10/22 Away Orlando 216.0 121-125 Over +30.0
10/24 Away Memphis 232.5 146-114 Over +27.5
10/26 Home New York 230.5 115-107 Under -8.5
10/28 Home Charlotte 241.5 144-117 Over +19.5
10/30 Away San Antonio 228.5 101-107 Under -20.5
11/02 Away LA Lakers 232.5 120-130 Over +17.5
11/03 Away LA Clippers 227.5 120-119 Over +11.5
11/05 Away Denver 242.5 112-122 Under -8.5
11/07 Home Charlotte 235.5 126-108 Under -1.5
11/08 Home Portland 241.5 136-131 Over +25.5
11/10 Home Cleveland 248.5 140-138 Over +29.5
11/12 Home Cleveland 238.5 116-130 Over +7.5
11/14 Away New York 240.5 132-140 Over +31.5
11/17 Home New York 244.5 115-113 Under -16.5
11/19 Home Golden State 234.5 110-96 Under -28.5
11/21 Away Chicago 250.5 143-107 Under -0.5
11/23 Away Philadelphia 240.5 127-117 Over +3.5
11/24 Home Dallas 240.5 106-102 Under -32.5
11/26 Home Milwaukee 236.5 106-103 Under -27.5
11/29 Home Detroit 239.5 135-138 Over +33.5
12/01 Home LA Clippers 235.5 140-123 Over +27.5
12/03 Away Dallas 238.5 108-118 Under -12.5
12/05 Away Orlando 241.5 105-106 Under -30.5
12/06 Home Sacramento 241.5 111-127 Under -3.5
12/09 Away Orlando 235.5 108-117 Under -10.5
12/15 Home Toronto 234.5 96-106 Under -32.5
12/18 Away Brooklyn 228.5 106-95 Under -27.5
12/19 Away Boston 232.5 116-129 Over +12.5
12/21 Away New York 236.5 125-132 Over +20.5
12/23 Home Toronto 227.5 91-112 Under -24.5
12/26 Away Atlanta 250.5 126-111 Under -13.5
12/27 Home Indiana 233.5 142-116 Over +24.5
12/29 Home Denver 243.5 147-123 Over +26.5
01/01 Away Detroit 236.5 118-112 Under -6.5
01/03 Home Minnesota 235.5 115-125 Over +4.5
01/04 Home New Orleans 246.5 125-106 Under -15.5
01/06 Away Minnesota 238.5 94-122 Under -22.5
01/10 Away Indiana 235.5 99-123 Under -13.5
01/11 Away Okla City 234.5 112-124 Over +1.5
01/13 Home Phoenix 230.5 127-121 Over +17.5
01/15 Home Boston 235.5 114-119 Under -2.5
01/17 Home Okla City 234.5 122-120 Over +7.5
01/19 Away Golden State 239.5 112-135 Over +7.5
01/20 Away Sacramento 238.5 130-117 Over +8.5
01/22 Away Portland 235.5 110-127 Over +1.5
01/24 Away Utah 245.5 147-116 Over +17.5
01/25 Away Phoenix 225.5 111-102 Under -12.5
01/28 Home Orlando 233.5 124-133 Over +23.5
01/29 Away Chicago 238.5 116-113 Under -9.5
01/31 Home Chicago 231.5 118-125 Over +11.5
02/01 Home Chicago 233.5 134-91 Under -8.5
02/03 Home Atlanta 237.5 115-127 Over +4.5
02/06 Away Boston 227.5 96-98 Under -33.5
02/08 Away Washington 236.5 132-101 Under -3.5
02/09 Home Utah 236.5 111-115 Under -10.5
02/11 Away New Orleans 233.5 123-111 Over +0.5

Indiana Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
10/23 Home Okla City 231.5 135-141 Over +44.5
10/25 Away Memphis 240.5 103-128 Under -9.5
10/26 Away Minnesota 228.5 110-114 Under -4.5
10/29 Away Dallas 229.5 105-107 Under -17.5
10/31 Home Atlanta 233.0 108-128 Over +3.0
11/01 Home Golden State 230.0 114-109 Under -7.0
11/03 Home Milwaukee 235.5 115-117 Under -3.5
11/05 Home Brooklyn 233.5 103-112 Under -18.5
11/08 Away Denver 234.5 100-117 Under -17.5
11/09 Away Golden State 221.5 83-114 Under -24.5
11/11 Away Utah 233.5 128-152 Over +46.5
11/13 Away Phoenix 233.5 98-133 Under -2.5
11/15 Home Toronto 236.5 111-129 Over +3.5
11/17 Away Detroit 230.5 112-127 Over +8.5
11/19 Home Charlotte 238.5 127-118 Over +6.5
11/21 Away Cleveland 241.5 109-120 Under -12.5
11/24 Home Detroit 236.5 117-122 Over +2.5
11/26 Away Toronto 233.5 95-97 Under -41.5
11/28 Home Washington 239.5 119-86 Under -34.5
11/29 Home Chicago 240.5 103-101 Under -36.5
12/01 Home Cleveland 231.5 119-135 Over +22.5
12/03 Home Denver 238.5 120-135 Over +16.5
12/05 Away Chicago 235.5 120-105 Under -10.5
12/08 Home Sacramento 232.5 116-105 Under -11.5
12/12 Away Philadelphia 221.5 105-115 Under -1.5
12/14 Home Washington 233.5 89-108 Under -36.5
12/18 Home New York 226.5 113-114 Over +0.5
12/20 Away New Orleans 235.5 109-128 Over +1.5
12/22 Away Boston 225.5 95-103 Under -27.5
12/23 Home Milwaukee 217.5 94-111 Under -12.5
12/26 Home Boston 222.5 122-140 Over +39.5
12/27 Away Miami 233.5 116-142 Over +24.5
12/29 Away Houston 223.5 119-126 Over +21.5
12/31 Home Orlando 230.5 110-112 Under -8.5
01/02 Home San Antonio 239.5 113-123 Under -3.5
01/04 Away Orlando 228.5 127-135 Over +33.5
01/06 Home Cleveland 237.5 116-120 Under -1.5
01/08 Away Charlotte 232.5 114-112 Under -6.5
01/10 Home Miami 235.5 123-99 Under -13.5
01/12 Home Boston 227.5 98-96 Under -33.5
01/14 Home Toronto 220.5 101-115 Under -4.5
01/16 Home New Orleans 241.5 127-119 Over +4.5
01/17 Away Detroit 226.5 78-121 Under -27.5
01/19 Away Philadelphia 229.5 104-113 Under -12.5
01/21 Away Boston 226.5 104-119 Under -3.5
01/23 Away Okla City 226.5 117-114 Over +4.5
01/26 Away Atlanta 233.5 116-132 Over +14.5
01/28 Home Chicago 235.5 113-110 Under -12.5
01/31 Home Atlanta 235.5 129-124 Over +17.5
02/02 Home Houston 218.5 114-118 Over +13.5
02/03 Home Utah 232.5 122-131 Over +20.5
02/06 Away Milwaukee 223.5 99-105 Under -19.5
02/08 Away Toronto 226.5 104-122 Under -0.5
02/10 Away New York 227.5 137-134 Over +43.5
02/11 Away Brooklyn 215.5 115-110 Over +9.5