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Houston at New England: Recap

Sunday Jan 18, 2026 3:00 pm - Foxborough, MA
Odds: New England by 3.5, Total Points: 41

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
New England HOU 36.0%
NE 64.0%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
HOU +3.5 HOU 50.3%
NE 49.7%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 41.5 Over 51.4%
Under 48.6%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
NE -175 HOU -3.5%
NE +0.4%
Final Score Projection Likely Score Vegas Implied Actual
HOU 19.5 20 19.0 16
NE 22.9 23 22.5 28

NOTE: Predictions stop updating roughly 1 hour before game time.

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat HOU NE
Yards/Play 5.1 5.8
Points/Play 0.367 0.427
Rush Play % 43.07% 46.89%
Pass Play % 56.93% 53.11%
Completion % 61.27% 69.18%
3D Conv % 39.16% 40.63%
RZ Scoring % 45.90% 55.71%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat HOU NE
Opp Yards/Play 4.7 4.9
Opp Points/Play 0.298 0.304
Opp Completion % 58.93% 63.06%
Opp 3D Conv % 34.14% 36.19%
Opp RZ Scoring % 55.32% 57.69%