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Houston at New England: Over/Under Analysis

Sunday Jan 18, 2026 3:00 pm - Foxborough, MA
Odds: New England by 3.5, Total Points: 41

Matchup Menu: HOU @ NE

More Games From Divisional

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 41.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go over
Over 41.5	Similar Games	60% odds to go over
Over 41.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go over

NOTE: Predictions stop updating roughly 1 hour before game time.

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	HOU	NE
Season	7-11-1	12-9-0
vs Division	2-4-0	4-2-0
vs Conference	5-9-0	8-7-0
Streak	Ov 1	Un 2
Last 5	3-2-0	2-3-0
Last 10	4-6-0	6-4-0
Home	4-4-1	7-4-0
Away	3-7-0	5-5-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Houston Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
09/07	Away	LA Rams	43.0	9-14	Under	-20.0
09/15	Home	Tampa Bay	42.5	19-20	Under	-3.5
09/21	Away	Jacksonville	43.0	10-17	Under	-16.0
09/28	Home	Tennessee	40.0	26-0	Under	-14.0
10/05	Away	Baltimore	41.5	44-10	Over	+12.5
10/20	Away	Seattle	41.5	19-27	Over	+4.5
10/26	Home	San Francisco	41.0	26-15	Push	0.0
11/02	Home	Denver	41.0	15-18	Under	-8.0
11/09	Home	Jacksonville	38.0	36-29	Over	+27.0
11/16	Away	Tennessee	37.0	16-13	Under	-8.0
11/20	Home	Buffalo	44.0	23-19	Under	-2.0
11/30	Away	Indianapolis	44.5	20-16	Under	-8.5
12/07	Away	Kansas City	41.5	20-10	Under	-11.5
12/14	Home	Arizona	42.0	40-20	Over	+18.0
12/21	Home	Las Vegas	39.5	23-21	Over	+4.5
12/27	Away	LA Chargers	41.0	20-16	Under	-5.0
01/04	Home	Indianapolis	37.5	38-30	Over	+30.5
01/12	Away	Pittsburgh	38.0	30-6	Under	-2.0
01/18	Away	New England	41.0	16-28	Over	+3.0

New England Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
09/07	Home	Las Vegas	44.0	13-20	Under	-11.0
09/14	Away	Miami	42.5	33-27	Over	+17.5
09/21	Home	Pittsburgh	44.0	14-21	Under	-9.0
09/28	Home	Carolina	42.5	42-13	Over	+12.5
10/05	Away	Buffalo	49.0	23-20	Under	-6.0
10/12	Away	New Orleans	46.0	25-19	Under	-2.0
10/19	Away	Tennessee	40.5	31-13	Over	+3.5
10/26	Home	Cleveland	40.5	32-13	Over	+4.5
11/02	Home	Atlanta	45.5	24-23	Over	+1.5
11/09	Away	Tampa Bay	47.0	28-23	Over	+4.0
11/13	Home	NY Jets	42.5	27-14	Under	-1.5
11/23	Away	Cincinnati	50.0	26-20	Under	-4.0
12/01	Home	NY Giants	46.5	33-15	Over	+1.5
12/14	Home	Buffalo	49.5	31-35	Over	+16.5
12/21	Away	Baltimore	48.0	28-24	Over	+4.0
12/28	Away	NY Jets	42.5	42-10	Over	+9.5
01/04	Home	Miami	43.5	38-10	Over	+4.5
01/11	Home	LA Chargers	45.5	16-3	Under	-26.5
01/18	Home	Houston	41.0	28-16	Over	+3.0
01/25	Away	Denver	43.0	10-7	Under	-26.0
02/08	Neutral	Seattle	45.0	13-29	Under	-3.0