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Make Tournament

81.8%

Automatic Bid

15.4%

At Large Bid

66.4%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (9.6%)

Final Four

12.3%

NCAA Champs

3.6%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 100.0%
17 100.0%
16 99.8%
15 97.5%
14 84.3%
13 57.2%
12 18.2%
11 2.7%
OVERALL 81.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 9.6% 13.0%
2 9.1% 6.7%
3 7.8% 4.3%
4 6.2% 3.1%
5 4.7% 2.5%
6 4.3% 2.1%
7 4.6% 1.9%
8 4.9% 1.3%
9 5.0% 0.9%
10 5.0% 1.1%
11 5.2% 0.8%
12 6.4% 0.6%
13 5.0% 0.5%
14 2.9% 0.4%
15 0.9% 0.3%
16 0.1% -
OVERALL 3.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.