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Make Tournament

36.6%

Automatic Bid

3.9%

At Large Bid

32.7%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (4.9%)

Final Four

1.6%

NCAA Champs

0.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
6 100.0%
5 99.0%
4 94.5%
3 82.4%
2 63.7%
OVERALL 36.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.5% 2.4%
2 1.1% 1.8%
3 1.7% 0.9%
4 2.2% 0.8%
5 2.6% 0.5%
6 2.9% 0.3%
7 3.0% 0.2%
8 3.0% 0.1%
9 2.8% 0.1%
10 2.9% 0.1%
11 3.5% 0.1%
12 4.9% 0.0%
13 3.6% 0.0%
14 1.7% 0.0%
15 0.4% 0.0%
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.