New Orleans Bowl: W Kentucky vs. Southern Miss: Recap
Tuesday Dec 23, 2025 5:30 pm -
New Orleans, LA
(Neutral Site)
Odds:
Southern Miss by 3,
Total Points:
59.5
Matchup Menu: WKU vs. USM
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Miss | WKU | 39.5% | ||
| USM | 60.5% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM -3.0 | WKU | 47.8% | ||
| USM | 52.2% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 58.5 | Over | 48.4% | ||
| Under | 51.6% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM -140 | WKU | -7.0% | ||
| USM | +2.1% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU | 27.3 | 27 | 27.8 | 27 |
| USM | 30.6 | 30 | 30.8 | 16 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | WKU | USM |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 4.2 | 5.5 |
| Points/Play | 0.214 | 0.300 |
| Rush Play % | 47.23% | 40.79% |
| Pass Play % | 52.77% | 59.21% |
| Completion % | 57.98% | 62.09% |
| 3D Conv % | 39.08% | 30.00% |
| RZ Scoring % | 76.92% | 61.54% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | WKU | USM |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.9 | 6.7 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.646 | 0.528 |
| Opp Completion % | 60.77% | 65.14% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 33.90% | 47.46% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 100.00% | 84.21% |