Boca Raton Bowl: Toledo vs. Louisville: Recap

Tuesday Dec 23, 2025 2:00 pm - Boca Raton, FL (Neutral Site)
Odds: Louisville by 12.5, Total Points: 44.5

Matchup Menu: TOL vs. LOU

More Games From Bowl Week
Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Louisville TOL 18.4%
LOU 81.6%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
LOU -12.5 TOL 49.3%
LOU 50.7%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 44.5 Over 50.4%
Under 49.6%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off TOL -2.7%
LOU -1.7%
Final Score Projection Likely Score Vegas Implied Actual
TOL 15.9 17 16.0 22
LOU 28.7 30 28.5 27

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat TOL LOU
Yards/Play 6.0 5.6
Points/Play 0.425 0.425
Rush Play % 52.93% 49.18%
Pass Play % 47.07% 50.82%
Completion % 63.26% 63.78%
3D Conv % 39.38% 33.54%
RZ Scoring % 71.43% 82.05%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat TOL LOU
Opp Yards/Play 4.1 4.7
Opp Points/Play 0.215 0.318
Opp Completion % 49.70% 60.00%
Opp 3D Conv % 30.99% 34.13%
Opp RZ Scoring % 68.97% 81.82%