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San Jose St at Air Force: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 15, 2020 2:00 pm - Colorado Springs, CO
Odds: Air Force by 9.5, Total Points: 154.5

Matchup Menu: SJSU @ AFA

More Games From Feb 15, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SJSU AFA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting SJSU AFA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 52.7 51.3
Field Goal % 48.2% 48.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 31.1 27.7
2 Point Shooting % 55.1% 54.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 38.3% 41.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 14.8 16.1
Free Throw % 68.6% 68.7%
Ball Control SJSU AFA
Rebounds 28.5 30.2
Rebounds - Defensive 21.8 23.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.7 7.3
Turnovers 9.4 10.2
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.2
Steals 4.4 4.6
Fouls 14.4 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SJSU AFA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with SJSU AFA
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 38.2%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 32.6%
Player Fouled 21.1% 22.5%
Turnover 14.6% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SJSU AFA
Shot Blocked 6.4% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.6% 24.9%