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Manhattan at Maryland: Box Score Simulation

Monday Nov 4, 2024 7:00 pm - College Park, MD
Odds: Maryland by 26, Total Points: 131.5

Matchup Menu: MAN @ MD

More Games From Nov 4, 2024

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MAN MD
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting MAN MD
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 63.8 62.8
Field Goal % 35.5% 52.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 39.2 39.3
2 Point Shooting % 38.8% 61.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 24.6 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 30.1% 38.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 13.9 20.7
Free Throw % 77.4% 75.9%
Ball Control MAN MD
Rebounds 33.4 41.0
Rebounds - Defensive 21.5 30.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 11.0
Turnovers 11.8 7.2
Blocked Shots 1.6 6.4
Steals 4.0 7.1
Fouls 14.5 11.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MAN MD
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with MAN MD
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.5% 28.1%
Player Fouled 16.2% 20.3%
Turnover 16.5% 10.0%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken MAN MD
Shot Blocked 10.3% 2.5%
Offensive Rebound 28.4% 33.9%