Category: NFL

NFL Week 9 Predictions, Rankings, and Tips: The Weekly Rundown

Here’s a quick-hit list of weekly highlights from the vast array of NFL content we publish on TeamRankings. We’ll also share some predictions and picks for Week 9 and beyond.


Just announced:
Our NFL Week 9 contest is open! Total prize pool $2,249. Claim your spot now.


NFL Week 9 Power Rankings Update

Current NFL rankings

  • Denver pulls further ahead. Denver slightly increased the gap between its league-leading power rating and the rest of the NFL by beating San Diego by 14, a margin of victory about five points more than expected.
  • Preseason ratings value. In general, Week 8 was another good one for demonstrating the value of preseason ratings, which still influence our system. New Orleans, a team that we still had ranked #14 despite a 2-4 record, beat Green Bay handily. Meanwhile, Dallas, who still hadn’t cracked the top 10 despite a 6-1 record, lost to Washington in OT despite being 10-point favorites.

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Daily Fantasy Strategy: Back to Back Stacks In The Black

This is the ninth installment in David’s diary about playing one-day fantasy football for the first time. All other posts are listed in this blog section.

My new big tournament strategy of simply entering stacks against the worst defenses paid off again in Week 8.

There was no third-place finish in a huge tournament, but I did snag a 25x payout with one stack, which accounted for most of my profit for the week.

Week 8 Results Recap

  • Initial Bankroll: $250
  • Bankroll Entering Week 8: $457.20

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Daily Fantasy Strategy: Seattle Stack Scores Big In Week 7

This is the eighth installment in David’s diary about playing one-day fantasy football for the first time. All other posts are listed in this blog section.

I’ve been entering a handful of lineups in large tournaments each week, hoping for a big payday. This week, I finally got one.

I entered eight lineups in a $1 entry, 4,597-person tournament: my two top head-to-head lineups, plus six 3-player stacks on six different teams. One of those stacks hit gloriously, and I ended up finishing in 3rd place, good for a $150 payday.

Not bad for a $1 entry fee.

OK, really $8 in fees, but who’s counting?

Oh right, I am.

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NFL Week 8 Predictions, Rankings, and Tips: The Weekly Rundown

Here’s a rapid-fire list of weekly highlights from the vast array of NFL content we publish on TeamRankings. We’ll also share some predictions and picks for Week 8 and beyond.


Just announced:
Our NFL Week 8 contest is open! Total prize pool $2,249. Claim your spot now.


NFL Week 8 Power Rankings Update

Current NFL rankings

  • Surprise surprise, Denver is king. It doesn’t take fancy math to figure out that Denver is currently the undisputed best team in the NFL. The Broncos’ blowout of previously #3 San Francisco, coupled with a bad loss by Seattle, means that Denver is now almost three points better than any other team in the NFL in our Predictive ratings.

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David Does Daily (Fantasy): Paying For Peyton Paid Off

This is the seventh installment in David’s diary about playing one-day fantasy football for the first time. All other posts are listed in this blog section.

This week, I continued to follow my strategy of paying top dollar for quarterbacks and running backs, spending as little as possible on kicking, and looking for bargains at the wide receiver position.

Once again, my top lineup did very well, providing more than 100% ROI, and the other six lineups … pretty much stunk.

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NFL Week 7 Predictions, Rankings, and Tips: The Weekly Rundown

Here’s a rapid-fire list of weekly highlights from the vast array of NFL content we publish on TeamRankings. We’ll also share some predictions and picks for Week 7 and beyond.


Just announced:
Our NFL Week 7 contest is open! Total prize pool $2,249. Claim your spot now.


NFL Week 7 Power Rankings Update

Current NFL rankings

  • Is Dallas for real? (Take 2). The Dallas upset of Seattle presents an interesting quandary for quantitative ratings systems. On the one hand, obviously the result matters. Our Predictive ratings expected Dallas to lose by 11 points based on Sunday morning values, and the Cowboys exceeded that expectation by 18 points. (Vegas spreads liked Dallas a bit more, but still implied a loss by 8 or 9.) At the same time, Dallas has only one win so far against a team ranked better than #14 in our Predictive rankings, so you also have to consider the bigger picture. Plenty of random and semi-random events (i.e. luck) can influence one game.

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David Does Daily (Fantasy): A Big Week 5 Puts Me Up For The Year

This is the sixth installment in David’s diary about playing one-day fantasy football for the first time. All other posts are listed in this blog section.

I’m crunched for time, so I’ll cut right to the chase: I kicked ass last week. :)

I’m playing low stakes, and obviously benefiting from a ton of beginner’s luck, but still — my top lineup, the one I spent a bunch of time on, was a perfect 14-0 in head to head matches, cashed in both 50/50’s I entered, and would have cashed in every tournament I entered (had I used it instead of my actual tournament lineups).

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NFL Week 6 Predictions, Rankings, and Tips: The Weekly Rundown

Here’s a rapid-fire list of weekly highlights from the vast array of NFL content we publish on TeamRankings. We’ll also share some predictions and picks for Week 6 and beyond.


Just announced:
Our NFL Week 6 contest is open! Total prize pool $2,249. Claim your spot now.


NFL Week 6 Power Rankings Update

Current NFL rankings

  • Our New Ratings are out of Beta! About three and a half years ago, we began developing a new set of predictive ratings. These “New Ratings” improve upon the original ratings system that served as the foundation of this site way back in the early 2000’s — primarily by getting much better at making early season predictions, but in other ways too. This week, we began shifting the entire site to focus on these new ratings, and eventually, we’re going to phase the old ratings out altogether. You can read more information, if you’re curious, in the new ratings announcement we published this week.
  • The see-saw at #1 tilts again. Both Seattle and Denver increased their ratings with wins this week, but Denver’s 21-point shellacking of Arizona, despite an 0-2 turnover margin, was more impressive. As a result, Denver now reigns supreme at the top of our predictive ratings, edging the #2 Seahawks by the slimmest of margins.

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Happy Birthday, New Rankings: You’re No Longer In Beta

As long time TR users know, our “New Ratings” have been around a for a while, and aren’t exactly “new” at this point. In fact, they were announced three years ago today.

To celebrate their birthday, and because we’re now confident that they’re ready for prime time, we’re making a few changes.

What’s Changing?

1. We’re removing “(Beta)” from the end of their name.

It’s like moving from a learner’s permit to real driver’s license.

2. We’re now using them on team and matchup pages.

Our new default power rating for team pages and matchup pages is the Predictive Rating from our New Ratings suite, so you’ll now see “Predictive Rank” where you used to see our old “Overall Rank”.

Unlike our previous Overall rankings, the new Predictive Rating is designed to be the best predictor of future games, so it relies heavily on margin of victory, and virtually ignores a team’s win-loss record.

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David Does Daily (Fantasy): Historical Scoring Data By Position

This is the fifth installment in David’s diary about playing one-day fantasy football for the first time. All other posts are listed in this blog section.

Last week, I read a couple Daily Fantasy strategy books written by Jonathan Bales, based on the recommendation of reader Tony:

Yes, the titles sound kind of self-helpish, but I found them very enlightening. Bales doesn’t make a bunch of generic, unsupported claims about daily fantasy strategies. He makes specific claims and backs them up with actual data.

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