New England at Buffalo: Recap
Sunday Oct 4, 2026 1:00 pm -
Orchard Park, NY
Odds:
Buffalo by 7,
Total Points:
49.5
Matchup Menu: NE @ BUF
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | NE | 25.2% | ||
| BUF | 74.8% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF -7.0 | NE | 49.6% | ||
| BUF | 50.4% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 49.5 | Over | 53.1% | ||
| Under | 46.9% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | NE | -2.1% | ||
| BUF | -2.0% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE | 21.8 | 21 | 21.2 | 29 |
| BUF | 28.9 | 28 | 28.2 | 26 |
NOTE: Predictions stop updating roughly 1 hour before game time.
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | NE | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 5.2 | 6.5 |
| Points/Play | 0.257 | 0.534 |
| Rush Play % | 47.43% | 46.22% |
| Pass Play % | 52.57% | 53.78% |
| Completion % | 62.60% | 66.39% |
| 3D Conv % | 34.62% | 53.33% |
| RZ Scoring % | 44.44% | 68.75% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | NE | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.1 | 5.5 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.336 | 0.393 |
| Opp Completion % | 65.08% | 63.95% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 38.30% | 40.74% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 58.33% | 68.75% |