Miami at Minnesota: Recap
Sunday Oct 4, 2026 4:05 pm -
Minneapolis, MN
Odds:
Minnesota by 10,
Total Points:
38.5
Matchup Menu: MIA @ MIN
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota | MIA | 21.1% | ||
| MIN | 78.9% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA +10.0 | MIA | 53.5% | ||
| MIN | 46.5% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 38.5 | Over | 51.6% | ||
| Under | 48.4% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA +410 | MIA | +1.5% | ||
| MIN | -5.6% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 15.4 | 14 | 14.2 | 10 |
| MIN | 24.3 | 24 | 24.2 | 15 |
NOTE: Predictions stop updating roughly 1 hour before game time.
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | MIA | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 5.1 | 4.6 |
| Points/Play | 0.255 | 0.355 |
| Rush Play % | 47.45% | 49.51% |
| Pass Play % | 52.55% | 50.49% |
| Completion % | 56.15% | 65.71% |
| 3D Conv % | 41.27% | 37.97% |
| RZ Scoring % | 46.15% | 50.00% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | MIA | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.5 | 4.6 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.440 | 0.228 |
| Opp Completion % | 76.55% | 53.21% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 51.72% | 22.22% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 63.64% | 25.00% |