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Indianapolis at Houston: Recap

Sunday Jan 4, 2026 1:00 pm - Houston, TX
Odds: Houston by 9.5, Total Points: 37.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Houston IND 18.7%
HOU 81.3%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
HOU -9.5 IND 47.4%
HOU 52.6%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 37.5 Over 50.8%
Under 49.2%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off IND -0.5%
HOU -3.5%
Final Score Projection Likely Score Vegas Implied Actual
IND 13.9 14 14.0 30
HOU 23.9 24 23.5 38

NOTE: Predictions stop updating roughly 1 hour before game time.

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat IND HOU
Yards/Play 5.8 5.1
Points/Play 0.458 0.367
Rush Play % 43.42% 43.07%
Pass Play % 56.58% 56.93%
Completion % 65.81% 61.27%
3D Conv % 42.56% 39.16%
RZ Scoring % 65.15% 45.90%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat IND HOU
Opp Yards/Play 5.3 4.7
Opp Points/Play 0.370 0.298
Opp Completion % 63.32% 58.93%
Opp 3D Conv % 42.47% 34.14%
Opp RZ Scoring % 53.73% 55.32%