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Make Tournament

96.4%

Automatic Bid

35.1%

At Large Bid

61.3%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (27.7%)

Final Four

20.0%

NCAA Champs

6.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 99.9%
18 98.7%
17 92.6%
16 74.3%
15 33.9%
14 6.8%
13 2.1%
OVERALL 96.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 27.7% 12.3%
2 20.8% 6.3%
3 14.1% 3.9%
4 9.7% 2.6%
5 7.0% 1.7%
6 5.2% 1.3%
7 3.9% 1.0%
8 2.9% 0.6%
9 2.1% 0.6%
10 1.5% 0.4%
11 0.9% 0.4%
12 0.5% 0.2%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 6.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.