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Make Tournament

61.4%

Automatic Bid

5.0%

At Large Bid

56.4%

Most Likely Seed

#11 (16.8%)

Final Four

1.5%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
21 100.0%
20 99.1%
19 95.7%
18 40.6%
17 2.0%
OVERALL 61.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.0% -
4 0.1% -
5 0.4% 0.3%
6 1.2% 0.2%
7 2.6% 0.2%
8 5.2% 0.2%
9 9.4% 0.2%
10 14.4% 0.2%
11 16.8% 0.1%
12 10.5% 0.1%
13 0.6% 0.1%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.