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Make Tournament

29.1%

Automatic Bid

3.2%

At Large Bid

25.9%

Most Likely Seed

#11 (3.9%)

Final Four

1.2%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 99.4%
17 98.0%
16 87.6%
15 63.2%
14 33.6%
13 8.0%
12 1.0%
11 0.3%
10 0.1%
OVERALL 29.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.6% 2.1%
2 1.1% 0.8%
3 1.2% 0.5%
4 1.3% 0.4%
5 1.6% 0.3%
6 2.0% 0.2%
7 2.5% 0.1%
8 2.9% 0.1%
9 3.3% 0.1%
10 3.6% 0.0%
11 3.9% 0.0%
12 3.9% 0.0%
13 1.2% 0.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.