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Make Tournament

77.1%

Automatic Bid

11.2%

At Large Bid

65.9%

Most Likely Seed

#7 (9.1%)

Final Four

7.9%

NCAA Champs

1.5%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.8%
22 97.8%
21 86.5%
20 52.5%
19 15.4%
18 1.8%
17 0.1%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 77.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.9% 5.7%
2 5.1% 3.6%
3 7.5% 2.8%
4 8.8% 1.9%
5 8.8% 1.4%
6 8.3% 1.3%
7 9.1% 1.0%
8 8.4% 0.7%
9 6.7% 0.6%
10 5.1% 0.5%
11 3.8% 0.5%
12 2.6% 0.4%
13 0.7% 0.3%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.5%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.