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Make Tournament

63.1%

Automatic Bid

12.7%

At Large Bid

50.4%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (8.5%)

Final Four

6.8%

NCAA Champs

1.4%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.9%
22 98.8%
21 93.1%
20 71.6%
19 34.9%
18 9.2%
17 1.2%
16 0.1%
15 0.0%
14 0.0%
OVERALL 63.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 4.5% 6.8%
2 7.5% 3.2%
3 8.5% 1.7%
4 7.9% 1.0%
5 6.8% 0.7%
6 7.0% 0.6%
7 6.9% 0.4%
8 5.8% 0.2%
9 4.2% 0.1%
10 2.4% 0.1%
11 1.2% 0.0%
12 0.3% 0.0%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.