NC State Wolfpack Projections

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Atlantic Coast Conference teams:

All teams:

Overall Record

23.3 - 7.7

Conference Record

11.8 - 6.2

Conference Champs

7.2%

Projected Record (Currently Scheduled Games Only)

Conference Tournament Odds To Advance By Round

Future Odds

Undefeated	Win Rest	Win Div	Win Conf	1-Week Change
0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	7.2%	4.8%
Proj Conf Seed	Make Semis	Make Finals	Win Tourn	1-Week Change
5.0	43.8%	19.4%	8.2%	--

ACC

	Current		Projection				Playoffs
Team	conf W	L	conf W	L	overall W	L	Win Conf	Win Tourn
Duke	0	0	14.2	3.8	24.6	4.4	40.2%	33.8%
N Carolina	0	0	13.4	4.6	24.1	5.9	25.5%	23.0%
Virginia	0	0	12.0	6.0	21.1	6.9	10.4%	12.3%
NC State	0	0	11.8	6.2	23.3	7.7	7.2%	8.2%
Florida St	0	0	11.3	6.7	21.3	7.7	6.2%	6.3%
Miami (FL)	0	0	11.2	6.8	20.6	7.4	5.4%	7.7%
Syracuse	0	0	9.8	8.2	19.5	11.5	1.7%	2.7%
Clemson	0	0	9.4	8.6	18.4	10.6	1.2%	2.0%
VA Tech	0	0	9.2	8.8	18.9	10.1	1.4%	2.4%
Louisville	0	0	8.3	9.7	16.7	13.3	0.6%	1.2%
Notre Dame	0	0	7.2	10.8	16.2	14.8	0.1%	0.4%
GA Tech	0	0	5.0	13.0	13.8	17.2	0.0%	0.0%
Pittsburgh	0	0	5.0	13.0	15.3	15.7	0.0%	0.1%
Boston Col	0	0	4.1	13.9	11.7	18.3	0.0%	0.0%
Wake Forest	0	0	3.0	15.0	9.6	19.4	0.0%	0.0%

Toughest Remaining Games

Date	Opponent	Loc	Win Odds
2/16	Duke	Away	16.1%
2/5	N Carolina	Away	21.1%
1/3	Miami (FL)	Away	35.8%
3/2	Florida St	Away	39.0%
11/27	Wisconsin	Away	47.1%
1/8	N Carolina	Home	48.4%
1/24	Louisville	Away	56.7%
1/29	Virginia	Home	58.8%
12/19	Auburn	Home	59.4%
1/19	Notre Dame	Away	66.0%

Easiest Remaining Games

Date	Opponent	Loc	Win Odds
11/17	Maine	Home	99.5%
12/28	Loyola-MD	Home	99.5%
12/5	W Carolina	Home	99.5%
12/22	SC Upstate	Home	99.5%
11/20	St Peters	Home	99.1%
11/24	Mercer	Home	98.5%
2/24	Wake Forest	Home	97.0%
2/20	Boston Col	Home	95.4%
3/6	GA Tech	Home	94.4%
1/12	Pittsburgh	Home	93.3%

NOTE: Toughest & Easiest Game win odds are from a different simulation than other projected odds, and may differ slightly due to simulation noise.

Conference Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed	Probability	Win Odds
1	7.2%	21.4%
2	12.3%	15.7%
3	14.2%	11.5%
4	14.0%	8.9%
5	12.9%	5.4%
6	11.5%	4.3%
7	9.7%	3.2%
8	6.6%	2.2%
9	5.3%	1.7%
10	3.2%	1.1%
11	1.8%	0.8%
12	0.9%	0.6%
13	0.3%	0.5%
14	0.1%	-
15	0.1%	-
16	0.0%	-
OVERALL		8.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.