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Make Tournament

99.3%

Automatic Bid

4.4%

At Large Bid

94.8%

Most Likely Seed

#10 (24.0%)

Final Four

1.7%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
17 100.0%
16 100.0%
15 99.9%
14 99.7%
13 98.6%
OVERALL 99.3%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.1% -
3 0.2% -
4 0.6% 0.3%
5 1.5% 0.2%
6 3.2% 0.2%
7 6.2% 0.2%
8 11.2% 0.1%
9 18.1% 0.1%
10 24.0% 0.1%
11 23.1% 0.1%
12 10.8% 0.1%
13 0.3% 0.1%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.