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Make Tournament

65.6%

Automatic Bid

6.9%

At Large Bid

58.7%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (6.5%)

Final Four

4.3%

NCAA Champs

0.9%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 100.0%
17 100.0%
16 100.0%
15 99.8%
14 98.2%
13 94.2%
12 77.5%
11 46.6%
10 19.0%
9 4.6%
8 0.2%
7 0.0%
OVERALL 65.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 4.8% 4.5%
2 5.0% 2.2%
3 5.1% 1.3%
4 5.0% 0.8%
5 4.9% 0.6%
6 4.9% 0.5%
7 4.9% 0.4%
8 4.9% 0.2%
9 4.9% 0.2%
10 5.0% 0.2%
11 5.3% 0.2%
12 6.5% 0.1%
13 3.6% 0.1%
14 0.8% 0.1%
15 0.1% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.9%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.