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Make Tournament

79.1%

Automatic Bid

8.1%

At Large Bid

71.1%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (8.1%)

Final Four

5.0%

NCAA Champs

0.8%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 100.0%
17 100.0%
16 100.0%
15 99.8%
14 98.6%
13 95.6%
12 80.1%
11 50.9%
10 16.0%
9 2.3%
OVERALL 79.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 5.8% 3.9%
2 7.9% 2.0%
3 8.1% 1.2%
4 7.9% 0.8%
5 7.7% 0.5%
6 7.5% 0.4%
7 7.0% 0.3%
8 6.5% 0.2%
9 6.1% 0.2%
10 5.5% 0.1%
11 4.9% 0.1%
12 3.6% 0.1%
13 0.6% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.8%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.