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Make Tournament

51.8%

Automatic Bid

9.2%

At Large Bid

42.7%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (4.9%)

Final Four

3.4%

NCAA Champs

0.6%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.9%
20 99.7%
19 96.1%
18 86.5%
17 65.2%
16 32.6%
15 12.9%
14 3.1%
13 0.2%
12 0.2%
OVERALL 51.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 3.8% 3.2%
2 4.3% 1.5%
3 3.9% 0.9%
4 3.1% 0.6%
5 2.7% 0.5%
6 3.0% 0.5%
7 3.7% 0.3%
8 4.1% 0.2%
9 4.2% 0.2%
10 4.2% 0.2%
11 4.3% 0.1%
12 4.9% 0.1%
13 3.3% 0.1%
14 1.7% 0.1%
15 0.5% 0.1%
16 0.1% -
OVERALL 0.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.