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Make Tournament

43.7%

Automatic Bid

5.1%

At Large Bid

38.7%

Most Likely Seed

#9 (4.6%)

Final Four

1.6%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.9%
20 97.7%
19 89.9%
18 73.3%
17 49.2%
16 22.0%
15 5.1%
14 0.6%
13 0.1%
12 0.0%
OVERALL 43.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.2% 1.6%
2 2.3% 0.8%
3 2.9% 0.5%
4 3.4% 0.3%
5 3.8% 0.2%
6 4.1% 0.1%
7 4.4% 0.1%
8 4.5% 0.1%
9 4.6% 0.1%
10 4.4% 0.1%
11 3.9% 0.0%
12 3.1% 0.0%
13 0.8% 0.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.