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Make Tournament

99.6%

Automatic Bid

32.0%

At Large Bid

67.6%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (34.6%)

Final Four

21.0%

NCAA Champs

6.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 99.6%
18 99.2%
17 95.2%
16 84.9%
15 65.5%
14 45.1%
13 24.8%
OVERALL 99.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 34.6% 11.9%
2 20.1% 5.4%
3 13.2% 3.4%
4 9.2% 2.4%
5 6.6% 1.6%
6 4.8% 1.2%
7 3.5% 0.9%
8 2.5% 0.6%
9 1.9% 0.5%
10 1.4% 0.3%
11 1.1% 0.2%
12 0.6% 0.1%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 6.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.