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Make Tournament

92.7%

Automatic Bid

14.1%

At Large Bid

78.6%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (12.7%)

Final Four

13.8%

NCAA Champs

3.8%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 99.9%
18 99.9%
17 99.3%
16 96.9%
15 86.7%
14 62.6%
13 28.5%
12 8.4%
OVERALL 92.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 12.5% 11.8%
2 12.7% 6.2%
3 10.9% 4.1%
4 9.4% 2.8%
5 8.3% 2.2%
6 7.3% 1.7%
7 6.5% 1.1%
8 5.8% 0.8%
9 5.3% 0.7%
10 4.8% 0.6%
11 4.4% 0.4%
12 3.9% 0.2%
13 0.9% 0.1%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 3.8%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.