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Make Tournament

86.8%

Automatic Bid

15.7%

At Large Bid

71.1%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (16.3%)

Final Four

13.6%

NCAA Champs

3.7%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 99.9%
17 99.6%
16 96.4%
15 78.5%
14 44.4%
13 10.8%
12 1.0%
OVERALL 86.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 16.3% 9.8%
2 14.5% 4.9%
3 11.6% 3.1%
4 9.5% 2.1%
5 8.0% 1.4%
6 6.6% 1.0%
7 5.5% 0.9%
8 4.5% 0.6%
9 3.7% 0.5%
10 2.9% 0.5%
11 2.1% 0.4%
12 1.3% 0.3%
13 0.2% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 3.7%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.