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Make Tournament

40.2%

Automatic Bid

4.5%

At Large Bid

35.7%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (3.9%)

Final Four

2.4%

NCAA Champs

0.5%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
6 100.0%
5 100.0%
4 97.5%
3 91.1%
2 70.0%
OVERALL 40.2%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.6% 2.4%
2 2.2% 1.5%
3 3.2% 1.2%
4 3.8% 0.6%
5 3.9% 0.3%
6 3.6% 0.2%
7 3.2% 0.2%
8 3.1% 0.1%
9 3.3% 0.2%
10 3.5% 0.2%
11 3.6% 0.2%
12 3.9% 0.1%
13 1.2% 0.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.5%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.