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Make Tournament

36.3%

Automatic Bid

5.4%

At Large Bid

30.9%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (3.9%)

Final Four

1.5%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
9 100.0%
8 100.0%
7 99.2%
6 86.8%
5 61.3%
4 22.9%
3 2.2%
2 0.0%
OVERALL 36.3%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.3% 2.9%
2 0.9% 1.0%
3 1.5% 0.8%
4 2.0% 0.6%
5 2.6% 0.3%
6 3.2% 0.2%
7 3.4% 0.2%
8 3.3% 0.2%
9 3.2% 0.1%
10 3.1% 0.1%
11 3.3% 0.1%
12 3.9% 0.1%
13 2.9% 0.1%
14 1.9% 0.0%
15 0.8% 0.0%
16 0.1% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.