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Make Tournament

92.2%

Automatic Bid

30.9%

At Large Bid

61.3%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (17.6%)

Final Four

17.0%

NCAA Champs

4.9%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.8%
23 98.5%
22 92.9%
21 84.1%
20 61.1%
19 40.5%
18 16.6%
17 2.4%
16 0.2%
OVERALL 92.2%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 17.6% 11.7%
2 17.2% 6.4%
3 14.2% 4.1%
4 11.5% 2.8%
5 9.1% 2.0%
6 7.1% 1.4%
7 5.4% 1.0%
8 4.0% 0.9%
9 2.8% 0.6%
10 1.8% 0.5%
11 1.0% 0.3%
12 0.4% 0.2%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 4.9%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.