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Make Tournament

92.0%

Automatic Bid

22.7%

At Large Bid

69.4%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (21.1%)

Final Four

19.4%

NCAA Champs

6.6%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 99.9%
17 99.6%
16 97.1%
15 84.5%
14 60.4%
13 28.0%
12 6.5%
11 0.5%
OVERALL 92.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 21.1% 16.3%
2 12.7% 8.7%
3 9.1% 5.5%
4 6.7% 4.0%
5 5.1% 3.4%
6 4.3% 2.9%
7 4.2% 2.2%
8 4.1% 1.8%
9 4.0% 1.5%
10 3.9% 1.4%
11 3.9% 1.2%
12 4.8% 1.1%
13 3.9% 0.8%
14 2.8% 0.5%
15 1.2% 0.5%
16 0.2% -
OVERALL 6.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.