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Make Tournament

93.2%

Automatic Bid

21.4%

At Large Bid

71.8%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (12.0%)

Final Four

17.0%

NCAA Champs

5.7%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 100.0%
17 99.6%
16 97.9%
15 89.3%
14 62.0%
13 23.4%
12 8.2%
OVERALL 93.2%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 12.0% 17.5%
2 11.6% 10.4%
3 10.2% 6.7%
4 9.0% 4.8%
5 7.9% 3.4%
6 6.9% 2.6%
7 6.1% 2.1%
8 5.6% 1.7%
9 5.2% 1.2%
10 5.0% 1.0%
11 5.2% 0.8%
12 5.8% 0.5%
13 2.4% 0.3%
14 0.4% 0.1%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 5.7%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.