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Michigan at Penn State: Point Spread Analysis

Tuesday Feb 12, 2019 8:30 pm - University Park, PA
Odds: Michigan by 7.5, Total Points: 129

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Michigan -8.0 Official TR Pick Michigan 50% odds to cover
Michigan -8.0 Decision Tree Michigan 50% odds to cover
Penn State +7.5 Similar Games Penn State 58% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MICH adv PSU
Season 21-16-0 14-15-3
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 15-8-0 10-9-2
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 3-2-0 3-1-1
Last 10 6-4-0 7-1-2
Home 9-9-0 7-8-0
Away 12-7-0 7-7-3

Michigan Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/06 Home Norfolk St -27.0 W by 19 -8.0
11/10 Home Holy Cross -21.0 W by 19 -2.0
11/14 Away Villanova +6.5 W by 27 +33.5
11/17 Neutral Geo Wshgtn -19.5 W by 23 +3.5
11/18 Neutral Providence -8.0 W by 19 +11.0
11/23 Home Chattanooga -31.5 W by 28 -3.5
11/28 Home N Carolina -3.5 W by 17 +13.5
12/01 Home Purdue -5.5 W by 19 +13.5
12/04 Away Northwestern -4.5 W by 2 -2.5
12/08 Home S Carolina -17.0 W by 11 -6.0
12/15 Home W Michigan -24.5 W by 8 -16.5
12/22 Home Air Force -25.5 W by 21 -4.5
12/30 Home Binghamton -33.0 W by 22 -11.0
01/03 Home Penn State -11.0 W by 13 +2.0
01/06 Home Indiana -9.0 W by 11 +2.0
01/10 Away Illinois -8.0 W by 10 +2.0
01/13 Home Northwestern -13.0 W by 20 +7.0
01/19 Away Wisconsin -3.5 L by 10 -13.5
01/22 Home Minnesota -12.0 W by 2 -10.0
01/25 Away Indiana -4.0 W by 23 +19.0
01/29 Home Ohio State -9.0 W by 16 +7.0
02/01 Away Iowa -5.0 L by 15 -20.0
02/05 Away Rutgers -9.5 W by 12 +2.5
02/09 Home Wisconsin -7.0 W by 9 +2.0
02/12 Away Penn State -7.5 L by 6 -13.5
02/16 Home Maryland -7.5 W by 13 +5.5
02/21 Away Minnesota -5.0 W by 9 +4.0
02/24 Home Michigan St -4.0 L by 7 -11.0
02/28 Home Nebraska -10.5 W by 29 +18.5
03/03 Away Maryland (Pick) W by 7 +7.0
03/09 Away Michigan St +4.0 L by 12 -8.0
03/15 Neutral Iowa -8.0 W by 21 +13.0
03/16 Neutral Minnesota -9.5 W by 27 +17.5
03/17 Neutral Michigan St -2.0 L by 5 -7.0
03/21 Neutral Montana -15.0 W by 19 +4.0
03/23 Neutral Florida -5.5 W by 15 +9.5
03/28 Neutral Texas Tech -1.5 L by 19 -20.5

Penn State Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/09 Home N Florida -22.0 W by 15 -7.0
11/12 Home Jksnville St -12.0 W by 15 +3.0
11/15 Away DePaul (Pick) L by 2 -2.0
11/20 Neutral Wright State -5.5 W by 18 +12.5
11/21 Neutral Bradley -5.5 L by 3 -8.5
11/27 Home VA Tech +4.5 W by 1 +5.5
12/01 Away Maryland +6.5 L by 7 -0.5
12/04 Home Indiana -3.0 L by 2 -5.0
12/08 Home Colgate -15.0 W by 11 -4.0
12/15 Neutral NC State +4.5 L by 11 -6.5
12/19 Neutral Duquesne -6.0 W by 6 0.0
12/21 Away Alabama +4.0 L by 9 -5.0
12/29 Home Maryland BC -16.5 W by 22 +5.5
01/03 Away Michigan +11.0 L by 13 -2.0
01/06 Home Wisconsin +2.5 L by 19 -16.5
01/10 Away Nebraska +10.0 L by 6 +4.0
01/13 Home Michigan St +7.0 L by 15 -8.0
01/16 Home Iowa -3.0 L by 7 -10.0
01/19 Away Minnesota +3.5 L by 1 +2.5
01/26 Home Rutgers -7.0 L by 4 -11.0
01/31 Home Purdue +7.0 L by 9 -2.0
02/04 Away Northwestern +3.0 W by 7 +10.0
02/07 Away Ohio State +6.5 L by 4 +2.5
02/12 Home Michigan +7.5 W by 6 +13.5
02/16 Away Purdue +12.0 L by 12 0.0
02/19 Home Nebraska -3.0 W by 24 +21.0
02/23 Away Illinois +2.0 W by 7 +9.0
02/27 Home Maryland +1.5 W by 17 +18.5
03/02 Away Wisconsin +6.0 L by 4 +2.0
03/06 Away Rutgers -1.0 W by 1 0.0
03/10 Home Illinois -8.0 W by 16 +8.0
03/14 Neutral Minnesota -3.0 L by 5 -8.0