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Tarleton St at UT Arlington: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Jan 21, 2026 8:00 pm - Arlington, TX
Odds: UT Arlington by 2.5, Total Points: 142.5

Matchup Menu: TST @ UTA

More Games From Jan 21, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 142.5	Official TR Pick	54% odds to go over
Over 142.5	Similar Games	56% odds to go over
Over 142.5	Decision Tree	54% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	TST	UTA
Season	15-13-0	7-23-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	9-10-0	6-14-0
Streak	Ov 1	Un 7
Last 5	4-1-0	0-5-0
Last 10	5-5-0	1-9-0
Home	6-6-0	3-8-0
Away	9-7-0	4-15-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Tarleton St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	SMU	145.0	76-96	Over	+27.0
11/05	Away	LSU	149.5	60-96	Over	+6.5
11/08	Home	Texas A&M-CC	142.0	85-77	Over	+20.0
11/11	Home	Merrimack	142.5	76-62	Under	-4.5
11/14	Away	Baylor	149.5	81-94	Over	+25.5
11/17	Home	Angelo State	--	77-54	Under	--
11/20	Away	Rice	145.5	90-74	Over	+18.5
11/28	Home	Midwestern St.	--	67-57	Under	--
12/01	Away	Cincinnati	143.0	58-76	Under	-9.0
12/03	Home	Howard Payne	--	119-54	Under	--
12/07	Home	Cameron	--	93-63	Under	--
12/16	Away	Miss Valley St	142.5	88-64	Over	+9.5
12/19	Home	Florida A&M	145.5	78-54	Under	-13.5
12/29	Away	UT Arlington	136.5	69-63	Under	-4.5
01/01	Home	Utah Valley	144.0	85-91	Over	+32.0
01/03	Home	Cal Baptist	148.0	81-76	Over	+9.0
01/08	Home	Abl Christian	140.5	80-84	Over	+23.5
01/15	Away	S Utah	151.0	105-106	Over	+60.0
01/17	Away	Utah Tech	151.0	71-75	Under	-5.0
01/21	Away	UT Arlington	142.5	64-71	Under	-7.5
01/29	Home	Utah Valley	154.5	55-83	Under	-16.5
01/31	Home	Utah Tech	149.5	59-65	Under	-25.5
02/05	Away	Cal Baptist	139.5	55-56	Under	-28.5
02/07	Away	S Utah	148.0	62-59	Under	-27.0
02/14	Away	Abl Christian	136.0	59-73	Under	-4.0
02/16	Home	Abl Christian	134.0	65-62	Under	-7.0
02/19	Home	S Utah	145.0	78-74	Over	+7.0
02/21	Home	Utah Tech	140.5	72-80	Over	+11.5
02/26	Away	Utah Valley	141.5	72-79	Over	+9.5
02/28	Away	Cal Baptist	138.5	67-82	Over	+10.5
03/05	Home	UT Arlington	136.5	60-65	Under	-11.5
03/11	Neutral	Abl Christian	133.5	78-84	Over	+28.5

UT Arlington Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	North Texas-Dallas	--	91-40	Under	--
11/08	Away	New Mexico	144.5	56-74	Under	-14.5
11/10	Home	Arlington Baptist College	--	117-61	Under	--
11/15	Home	Missouri St	143.5	67-49	Under	-27.5
11/18	Away	Evansville	138.0	84-76	Over	+22.0
11/21	Neutral	Campbell	151.5	67-71	Under	-13.5
11/22	Away	Weber St	153.5	74-73	Under	-6.5
11/29	Home	SF Austin	138.5	66-61	Under	-11.5
12/02	Away	Arkansas St	151.5	63-83	Under	-5.5
12/11	Away	UT Rio Grande	145.5	58-50	Under	-37.5
12/17	Away	Stanford	139.5	60-76	Under	-3.5
12/22	Away	Oral Roberts	136.0	69-57	Under	-10.0
12/29	Home	Tarleton St	136.5	63-69	Under	-4.5
01/01	Home	Cal Baptist	134.5	63-51	Under	-20.5
01/03	Away	S Utah	138.5	86-77	Over	+24.5
01/10	Home	Abl Christian	132.5	82-72	Over	+21.5
01/15	Away	Utah Tech	142.0	56-52	Under	-34.0
01/17	Away	Utah Valley	143.5	74-86	Over	+16.5
01/21	Home	Tarleton St	142.5	71-64	Under	-7.5
01/29	Home	S Utah	143.5	80-61	Under	-2.5
01/31	Home	Cal Baptist	132.5	77-87	Over	+31.5
02/05	Away	Utah Tech	139.5	84-87	Over	+31.5
02/07	Away	Utah Valley	141.5	60-81	Under	-0.5
02/12	Away	Abl Christian	134.0	63-67	Under	-4.0
02/14	Home	S Utah	146.0	73-78	Over	+5.0
02/19	Home	Utah Tech	140.5	63-50	Under	-27.5
02/21	Home	Utah Valley	137.5	54-66	Under	-17.5
02/26	Away	Cal Baptist	134.5	56-68	Under	-10.5
03/05	Away	Tarleton St	136.5	65-60	Under	-11.5
03/07	Away	Abl Christian	131.5	64-57	Under	-10.5
03/12	Neutral	S Utah	140.5	69-63	Under	-8.5
03/13	Neutral	Utah Valley	136.5	65-67	Under	-4.5