Fairfield at Connecticut: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Dec 22, 2011 7:00 pm - Hartford, CT
Odds: Connecticut by 12.5, Total Points: 124.5

More Games From Dec 22, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting FAIR CONN
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 52.4 56.2
Field Goal % 33.0% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 40.4 38.0
2 Point Shooting % 35.0% 47.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 12.0 18.2
3 Point Shooting % 26.3% 34.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 20.2
Free Throw % 68.7% 74.7%
Ball Control FAIR CONN
Rebounds 32.9 39.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 11.5
Turnovers 14.9 11.4
Blocked Shots 2.5 6.2
Steals 4.6 6.3
Fouls 16.3 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FAIR CONN
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with FAIR CONN
2 Point Attempt 49.6% 46.5%
3 Point Attempt 14.7% 22.3%
Player Fouled 24.2% 23.5%
Turnover 21.5% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken FAIR CONN
Shot Blocked 11.1% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 33.3%