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Iowa St at Cincinnati: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Dec 22, 2015 7:00 pm - Cincinnati, OH
Odds: Cincinnati by 5, Total Points: 144

Matchup Menu: ISU @ CIN

More Games From Dec 22, 2015

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ISU CIN
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting ISU CIN
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 59.4 56.7
Field Goal % 41.3% 41.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 42.1 31.8
2 Point Shooting % 43.6% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.4 24.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 29.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 16.2
Free Throw % 70.8% 68.9%
Ball Control ISU CIN
Rebounds 32.5 40.6
Rebounds - Defensive 22.7 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 12.9
Turnovers 9.1 14.3
Blocked Shots 3.1 4.6
Steals 8.6 5.4
Fouls 13.0 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ISU CIN
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with ISU CIN
2 Point Attempt 51.9% 38.1%
3 Point Attempt 21.4% 29.7%
Player Fouled 20.4% 18.7%
Turnover 13.2% 20.7%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 12.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken ISU CIN
Shot Blocked 8.3% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 36.3%