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Houston at LSU: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Dec 13, 2017 9:00 pm - Baton Rouge, LA
Odds: Houston by 2.5, Total Points: 159

Matchup Menu: HOU @ LSU

More Games From Dec 13, 2017

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOU LSU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting HOU LSU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 62.7 49.2
Field Goal % 44.3% 37.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 29.1
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 40.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 24.1 20.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 32.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 22.9
Free Throw % 71.1% 73.3%
Ball Control HOU LSU
Rebounds 38.3 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 14.0 9.4
Turnovers 7.7 15.6
Blocked Shots 5.9 2.3
Steals 10.6 4.8
Fouls 15.6 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOU LSU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with HOU LSU
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 35.9%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 24.8%
Player Fouled 20.0% 22.6%
Turnover 11.2% 22.5%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 15.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOU LSU
Shot Blocked 4.9% 9.5%
Offensive Rebound 36.6% 27.8%