Virginia at Maryland : Over/Under Analysis

Sunday Mar 4, 2012 2:00 pm - College Park, MD
Odds: Virginia by 4.5, Total Points: 123

Over/Under Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Over 120.5 Official TR Pick 53% odds to go over
Over 120.5 Decision Tree 53% odds to go over
Under 120.5 Similar Games 65% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record UVA UMD
Season 11-20-1 14-17-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 7-12-1 10-8-1
Streak Un 1 Un 1
Last 5 3-2-0 2-3-0
Last 10 3-7-0 5-4-1
Home 5-9-0 4-13-0
Away 6-11-1 10-4-1

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Virginia Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
11/11 Away NC-Grnsboro 136.0 76-51 Under -9.0
11/15 Home St Fran (NY) -- 72-32 Under --
11/20 Home Yale 128.0 62-38 Under -28.0
11/22 Home Grambling St -- 90-34 Under --
11/25 Neutral Iowa 137.0 74-41 Under -22.0
11/26 Neutral Providence 117.5 63-52 Under -2.5
11/30 Home Ohio State 121.0 63-61 Over +3.0
12/03 Home W Virginia 128.5 57-66 Under -5.5
12/06 Home E Carolina 115.5 76-53 Over +13.5
12/17 Home Rob Morris 114.5 79-39 Over +3.5
12/21 Away California 118.5 56-52 Under -10.5
12/28 Away Louisville 117.5 61-53 Under -3.5
12/31 Home Florida St 126.5 58-60 Under -8.5
01/04 Away Pittsburgh 126.5 76-88 Over +37.5
01/08 Home Wake Forest 131.0 79-62 Over +10.0
01/14 Away Clemson 125.0 77-73 Over +25.0
01/18 Away Boston Col 128.5 71-54 Under -3.5
01/21 Home GA Tech 117.0 62-49 Under -6.0
01/24 Away Notre Dame 129.5 71-54 Under -4.5
01/29 Away Villanova 123.0 59-61 Under -3.0
02/01 Home VA Tech 136.0 71-48 Under -17.0
02/04 Away Syracuse 128.0 62-66 Push 0.0
02/06 Home Louisville 121.5 71-55 Over +4.5
02/12 Away VA Tech 132.5 78-80 Over +25.5
02/15 Home Duke 128.5 55-65 Under -8.5
02/18 Away N Carolina 135.0 41-65 Under -29.0
02/20 Home Miami (FL) 116.5 48-54 Under -14.5
02/25 Away NC State 134.5 70-55 Under -9.5
02/27 Home N Carolina 131.0 53-43 Under -35.0
03/04 Home Pittsburgh 122.0 67-42 Under -13.0
03/08 Neutral Pittsburgh 117.0 75-63 Over +21.0
03/09 Neutral Notre Dame 124.0 58-71 Over +5.0
03/16 Neutral NC-Wilmgton 134.5 76-71 Over +12.5
03/18 Neutral Florida 126.0 39-65 Under -22.0

Maryland Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
11/11 Home American 136.0 62-56 Under -18.0
11/15 Away Georgetown 156.5 76-75 Under -5.5
11/17 Home -- 93-45 Under --
11/20 Home Towson 137.5 71-66 Under -0.5
11/22 Home Stony Brook 142.5 77-63 Under -2.5
11/25 Neutral Richmond 140.5 88-82 Over +29.5
11/26 Neutral Kansas St 134.0 69-68 Over +3.0
11/29 Home Pittsburgh 144.0 59-73 Under -12.0
12/03 Home Oklahoma St 158.0 71-70 Under -17.0
12/07 Home Howard -- 79-56 Under --
12/10 Home St Peters 129.0 66-56 Under -7.0
12/12 Home Jksnville St 133.0 92-66 Over +25.0
12/20 Neutral Charlotte 152.5 88-72 Over +7.5
12/27 Home Illinois 138.5 84-59 Over +4.5
01/01 Home Nebraska 137.5 65-67 Under -5.5
01/07 Away Michigan 133.5 77-70 Over +13.5
01/10 Home Indiana 148.5 75-72 Under -1.5
01/14 Away Illinois 143.5 62-56 Under -25.5
01/19 Away Iowa 148.5 84-76 Over +11.5
01/24 Home Rutgers 129.5 67-55 Under -7.5
01/28 Away Minnesota 137.5 85-78 Over +25.5
01/31 Away Ohio State 143.5 77-71 Over +4.5
02/04 Home Purdue 148.5 72-73 Under -3.5
02/07 Away Penn State 144.5 64-70 Under -10.5
02/11 Home Ohio State 140.0 86-77 Over +23.0
02/15 Away Northwestern 136.0 74-64 Over +2.0
02/19 Away Wisconsin 131.0 60-71 Push 0.0
02/22 Home Minnesota 142.5 75-89 Over +21.5
02/25 Home Iowa 154.5 69-83 Under -2.5
02/28 Away Rutgers 134.0 79-59 Over +4.0
03/04 Home Michigan St 142.5 63-60 Under -19.5
03/10 Neutral Northwestern 134.5 64-72 Over +1.5
03/16 Neutral Xavier 142.0 65-76 Under -1.0