Indiana at Miami: Recap

Saturday Dec 27, 2025 8:00 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Miami by 6.5, Total Points: 233.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami IND 32.1%
MIA 67.9%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
IND +6.5 IND 52.2%
MIA 47.8%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 232.5 Over 48.7%
Under 51.3%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
IND +225 IND +1.3%
MIA -5.5%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
IND 112.8 113.0 116
MIA 118.7 119.5 142

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat IND MIA
Points/Game 111.2 119.4
Avg Score Margin -7.8 +1.6
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 13.8 17.9
Pts in Paint/Gm 45.1 54.9
Assists/Game 24.8 28.6
Total Rebounds/Gm 51.8 54.3
Effective FG % 51.2% 53.9%
Off Rebound % 23.4% 23.6%
FTA/FGA 0.277 0.259
Turnover % 12.2% 12.3%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat IND MIA
Opp Points/Game 119.0 117.7
Opp Effective FG % 54.8% 53.4%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 53.7 52.5
Off Rebounds/Gm 10.9 10.9
Def Rebounds/Gm 31.8 34.6
Blocks/Game 5.1 4.5
Steals/Game 7.4 9.5
Personal Fouls/Gm 23.0 19.3