Indiana at Miami: Recap

Saturday Dec 27, 2025 8:00 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Miami by 6.5, Total Points: 233.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami IND 32.1%
MIA 67.9%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
IND +6.5 IND 52.2%
MIA 47.8%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 232.5 Over 48.7%
Under 51.3%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
IND +225 IND +1.3%
MIA -5.5%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
IND 112.8 113.0 116
MIA 118.7 119.5 142

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat IND MIA
Points/Game 110.9 119.9
Avg Score Margin -7.7 +1.9
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 13.6 18.0
Pts in Paint/Gm 45.5 54.9
Assists/Game 25.9 28.8
Total Rebounds/Gm 51.7 55.4
Effective FG % 51.8% 53.4%
Off Rebound % 22.9% 25.0%
FTA/FGA 0.268 0.261
Turnover % 12.4% 11.9%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat IND MIA
Opp Points/Game 118.7 118.0
Opp Effective FG % 54.8% 53.5%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 54.2 52.5
Off Rebounds/Gm 10.6 11.8
Def Rebounds/Gm 32.2 34.8
Blocks/Game 4.9 4.2
Steals/Game 7.4 9.3
Personal Fouls/Gm 22.1 19.1