Denver at Golden State: Over/Under Analysis

Thursday Oct 23, 2025 10:00 pm - San Francisco, CA
Odds: Golden State by 1.5, Total Points: 233

Over/Under Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Over 233.0 Official TR Pick 50% odds to go over
Over 233.0 Decision Tree 50% odds to go over
Under 233.0 Similar Games 55% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record DEN GS
Season 52-30-0 49-34-0
vs Division 11-5-0 7-10-0
vs Conference 37-15-0 32-21-0
Streak Ov 5 Ov 1
Last 5 5-0-0 2-3-0
Last 10 8-2-0 5-5-0
Home 23-18-0 25-16-0
Away 29-12-0 24-18-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Denver Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
10/23 Away Golden State 233.0 131-137 Over +35.0
10/25 Home Phoenix 233.5 133-111 Over +10.5
10/27 Away Minnesota 229.5 127-114 Over +11.5
10/29 Home New Orleans 238.0 122-88 Under -28.0
10/31 Away Portland 239.5 107-109 Under -23.5
11/03 Home Sacramento 237.0 130-124 Over +17.0
11/05 Home Miami 242.5 122-112 Under -8.5
11/07 Home Golden State 230.5 129-104 Over +2.5
11/08 Home Indiana 234.5 117-100 Under -17.5
11/11 Away Sacramento 243.5 122-108 Under -13.5
11/12 Away LA Clippers 224.5 130-116 Over +21.5
11/15 Away Minnesota 236.5 123-112 Under -1.5
11/17 Home Chicago 240.5 127-130 Over +16.5
11/19 Away New Orleans 235.5 125-118 Over +7.5
11/21 Away Houston 234.5 112-109 Under -13.5
11/22 Home Sacramento 239.5 123-128 Over +11.5
11/24 Away Memphis 235.5 125-115 Over +4.5
11/28 Home San Antonio 238.5 136-139 Over +36.5
11/29 Away Phoenix 233.5 130-112 Over +8.5
12/01 Home Dallas 235.5 121-131 Over +16.5
12/03 Away Indiana 238.5 135-120 Over +16.5
12/05 Away Atlanta 238.5 134-133 Over +28.5
12/07 Away Charlotte 235.5 115-106 Under -14.5
12/11 Away Sacramento 239.5 136-105 Over +1.5
12/15 Home Houston 236.5 128-125 Over +16.5
12/18 Home Orlando 237.5 126-115 Over +3.5
12/20 Home Houston 235.5 101-115 Under -19.5
12/22 Home Utah 251.5 135-112 Under -4.5
12/23 Away Dallas 236.5 130-131 Over +24.5
12/25 Home Minnesota 238.5 142-138 Over +41.5
12/27 Away Orlando 235.5 126-127 Over +17.5
12/29 Away Miami 243.5 123-147 Over +26.5
12/31 Away Toronto 229.5 106-103 Under -20.5
01/02 Away Cleveland 240.5 108-113 Under -19.5
01/04 Away Brooklyn 224.5 115-127 Over +17.5
01/05 Away Philadelphia 228.5 125-124 Over +20.5
01/07 Away Boston 230.5 114-110 Under -6.5
01/09 Home Atlanta 230.5 87-110 Under -33.5
01/11 Home Milwaukee 218.5 108-104 Under -6.5
01/13 Away New Orleans 235.5 122-116 Over +2.5
01/14 Away Dallas 224.5 118-109 Over +2.5
01/17 Home Washington 227.5 121-115 Over +8.5
01/18 Home Charlotte 226.5 87-110 Under -29.5
01/20 Home LA Lakers 228.5 107-115 Under -6.5
01/22 Away Washington 227.5 107-97 Under -23.5
01/23 Away Milwaukee 214.5 102-100 Under -12.5
01/27 Home Detroit 215.5 107-109 Over +0.5
01/29 Home Brooklyn 209.5 107-103 Over +0.5
01/30 Home LA Clippers 219.5 122-109 Over +11.5
02/01 Home Okla City 225.5 111-121 Over +6.5
02/03 Away Detroit 229.5 121-124 Over +15.5
02/04 Away New York 227.5 127-134 Over +33.5
02/07 Away Chicago 235.5 136-120 Over +20.5
02/09 Home Cleveland 242.5 117-119 Under -6.5
02/11 Home Memphis 238.5 122-116 Under -0.5
02/19 Away LA Clippers 226.5 114-115 Over +2.5
02/20 Away Portland 241.5 157-103 Over +18.5
02/22 Away Golden State 228.5 117-128 Over +16.5
02/25 Home Boston 228.5 103-84 Under -41.5
02/27 Away Okla City 235.5 121-127 Over +12.5
03/01 Home Minnesota 241.5 108-117 Under -16.5
03/02 Away Utah 242.5 128-125 Over +10.5
03/05 Home LA Lakers 241.5 120-113 Under -8.5
03/06 Home New York 229.5 103-142 Over +15.5
03/09 Away Okla City 236.5 126-129 Over +18.5
03/11 Home Houston 231.5 129-93 Under -9.5
03/12 Away San Antonio 241.5 136-131 Over +25.5
03/14 Away LA Lakers 244.5 125-127 Over +7.5
03/17 Home Philadelphia 236.5 124-96 Under -16.5
03/18 Away Memphis 247.5 118-125 Under -4.5
03/20 Home Toronto 238.5 121-115 Under -2.5
03/22 Home Portland 237.5 128-112 Over +2.5
03/24 Away Phoenix 233.5 125-123 Over +14.5
03/25 Home Dallas 246.5 142-135 Over +30.5
03/27 Home Utah 247.5 135-129 Over +16.5
03/29 Home Golden State 237.5 116-93 Under -28.5
04/01 Away Utah 249.5 130-117 Under -2.5
04/04 Home San Antonio 242.5 136-134 Over +27.5
04/06 Home Portland 236.5 137-132 Over +32.5
04/08 Home Memphis 247.5 136-119 Over +7.5
04/10 Home Okla City 222.5 127-107 Over +11.5
04/12 Away San Antonio 234.5 128-118 Over +11.5

Golden State Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
10/21 Away LA Lakers 227.0 119-109 Over +1.0
10/23 Home Denver 233.0 137-131 Over +35.0
10/24 Away Portland 228.5 119-139 Over +29.5
10/27 Home Memphis 240.0 131-118 Over +9.0
10/28 Home LA Clippers 225.5 98-79 Under -48.5
10/30 Away Milwaukee 228.5 110-120 Over +1.5
11/01 Away Indiana 230.0 109-114 Under -7.0
11/04 Home Phoenix 235.5 118-107 Under -10.5
11/05 Away Sacramento 224.5 116-121 Over +12.5
11/07 Away Denver 230.5 104-129 Over +2.5
11/09 Home Indiana 221.5 114-83 Under -24.5
11/11 Away Okla City 227.5 102-126 Over +0.5
11/12 Away San Antonio 232.5 125-120 Over +12.5
11/14 Away San Antonio 233.5 109-108 Under -16.5
11/16 Away New Orleans 226.5 124-106 Over +3.5
11/18 Away Orlando 223.5 113-121 Over +10.5
11/19 Away Miami 234.5 96-110 Under -28.5
11/21 Home Portland 236.5 123-127 Over +13.5
11/24 Home Utah 239.5 134-117 Over +11.5
11/26 Home Houston 224.5 100-104 Under -20.5
11/29 Home New Orleans 228.5 104-96 Under -28.5
12/02 Home Okla City 223.5 112-124 Over +12.5
12/04 Away Philadelphia 223.5 98-99 Under -26.5
12/06 Away Cleveland 230.5 99-94 Under -37.5
12/07 Away Chicago 229.5 123-91 Under -15.5
12/12 Home Minnesota 227.5 120-127 Over +19.5
12/14 Away Portland 237.5 131-136 Over +29.5
12/18 Away Phoenix 229.5 98-99 Under -32.5
12/20 Home Phoenix 226.5 119-116 Over +8.5
12/22 Home Orlando 227.5 120-97 Under -10.5
12/25 Home Dallas 229.5 126-116 Over +12.5
12/28 Away Toronto 227.5 127-141 Over +40.5
12/29 Away Brooklyn 226.5 120-107 Over +0.5
12/31 Away Charlotte 235.5 132-125 Over +21.5
01/02 Home Okla City 226.5 94-131 Under -1.5
01/03 Home Utah 248.5 123-114 Under -11.5
01/05 Away LA Clippers 221.5 102-103 Under -16.5
01/07 Home Milwaukee 229.5 120-113 Over +3.5
01/09 Home Sacramento 231.5 137-103 Over +8.5
01/11 Home Atlanta 236.5 111-124 Under -1.5
01/13 Home Portland 225.5 119-97 Under -9.5
01/15 Home New York 227.5 126-113 Over +11.5
01/17 Home Charlotte 236.5 136-116 Over +15.5
01/19 Home Miami 239.5 135-112 Over +7.5
01/20 Home Toronto 225.5 127-145 Over +46.5
01/22 Away Dallas 234.5 115-123 Over +3.5
01/25 Away Minnesota 237.5 111-85 Under -41.5
01/26 Away Minnesota 226.5 83-108 Under -35.5
01/28 Away Utah 241.5 140-124 Over +22.5
01/30 Home Detroit 225.5 124-131 Over +29.5
02/03 Home Philadelphia 223.5 94-113 Under -16.5
02/05 Away Phoenix 213.5 101-97 Under -15.5
02/07 Away LA Lakers 221.5 99-105 Under -17.5
02/09 Home Memphis 219.5 114-113 Over +7.5
02/11 Home San Antonio 220.5 113-126 Over +18.5
02/19 Home Boston 210.5 110-121 Over +20.5
02/22 Home Denver 228.5 128-117 Over +16.5
02/24 Away New Orleans 228.5 109-113 Under -6.5
02/25 Away Memphis 226.5 133-112 Over +18.5
02/28 Home LA Lakers 226.5 101-129 Over +3.5
03/02 Home LA Clippers 216.5 101-114 Under -1.5
03/05 Away Houston 214.5 115-113 Over +13.5
03/07 Away Okla City 220.5 97-104 Under -19.5
03/09 Away Utah 225.0 116-119 Over +10.0
03/10 Home Chicago 226.5 124-130 Over +27.5
03/13 Home Minnesota 224.5 117-127 Over +19.5
03/15 Away New York 218.5 107-110 Under -1.5
03/16 Away Washington 234.5 125-117 Over +7.5
03/18 Away Boston 216.5 99-120 Over +2.5
03/20 Away Detroit 219.5 101-115 Under -3.5
03/21 Away Atlanta 227.5 110-126 Over +8.5
03/23 Away Dallas 230.5 137-131 Over +37.5
03/25 Home Brooklyn 218.5 109-106 Under -3.5
03/27 Home Washington 230.5 131-126 Over +26.5
03/29 Away Denver 237.5 93-116 Under -28.5
04/01 Home San Antonio 227.5 113-127 Over +12.5
04/02 Home Cleveland 229.5 111-118 Under -0.5
04/05 Home Houston 226.5 116-117 Over +6.5
04/07 Home Sacramento 233.5 110-105 Under -18.5
04/09 Home LA Lakers 222.5 103-119 Under -0.5
04/10 Away Sacramento 228.5 118-124 Over +13.5
04/12 Away LA Clippers 229.5 110-115 Under -4.5
04/15 Away LA Clippers 220.5 126-121 Over +26.5