Denver at Golden State: Point Spread Analysis

Thursday Oct 23, 2025 10:00 pm - San Francisco, CA
Odds: Golden State by 1.5, Total Points: 233

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Golden State -1.5 Official TR Pick Golden State 51% odds to cover
Golden State -1.5 Decision Tree Golden State 51% odds to cover
Denver +1.5 Power Rating Model Denver 51% odds to cover
Denver +1.5 Similar Games Denver 53% odds to cover
Denver +1.5 Predictive Ratings Denver 52% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record DEN adv GS
Season 44-38-0 36-47-0
vs Division 9-7-0 6-11-0
vs Conference 28-24-0 23-30-0
Streak W2 W1
Last 5 3-2-0 1-4-0
Last 10 4-6-0 4-6-0
Home 20-21-0 18-23-0
Away 24-17-0 18-24-0

Denver Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/23 Away Golden State +1.5 L by 6 -4.5
10/25 Home Phoenix -13.0 W by 22 +9.0
10/27 Away Minnesota -6.0 W by 13 +7.0
10/29 Home New Orleans -12.5 W by 34 +21.5
10/31 Away Portland -5.5 L by 2 -7.5
11/03 Home Sacramento -11.5 W by 6 -5.5
11/05 Home Miami -9.5 W by 10 +0.5
11/07 Home Golden State -9.5 W by 25 +15.5
11/08 Home Indiana -9.5 W by 17 +7.5
11/11 Away Sacramento -8.5 W by 14 +5.5
11/12 Away LA Clippers -4.5 W by 14 +9.5
11/15 Away Minnesota -1.5 W by 11 +9.5
11/17 Home Chicago -13.5 L by 3 -16.5
11/19 Away New Orleans -11.5 W by 7 -4.5
11/21 Away Houston +3.5 W by 3 +6.5
11/22 Home Sacramento -10.5 L by 5 -15.5
11/24 Away Memphis -6.5 W by 10 +3.5
11/28 Home San Antonio -7.5 L by 3 -10.5
11/29 Away Phoenix -3.5 W by 18 +14.5
12/01 Home Dallas -11.5 L by 10 -21.5
12/03 Away Indiana -8.5 W by 15 +6.5
12/05 Away Atlanta -3.5 W by 1 -2.5
12/07 Away Charlotte -10.5 W by 9 -1.5
12/11 Away Sacramento -10.5 W by 31 +20.5
12/15 Home Houston +1.5 W by 3 +4.5
12/18 Home Orlando -6.5 W by 11 +4.5
12/20 Home Houston -1.5 L by 14 -15.5
12/22 Home Utah -12.5 W by 23 +10.5
12/23 Away Dallas -6.5 L by 1 -7.5
12/25 Home Minnesota -1.5 W by 4 +2.5
12/27 Away Orlando -3.5 L by 1 -4.5
12/29 Away Miami -1.5 L by 24 -25.5
12/31 Away Toronto +7.5 W by 3 +10.5
01/02 Away Cleveland +13.5 L by 5 +8.5
01/04 Away Brooklyn -2.5 L by 12 -14.5
01/05 Away Philadelphia +14.5 W by 1 +15.5
01/07 Away Boston +9.5 W by 4 +13.5
01/09 Home Atlanta +3.5 L by 23 -19.5
01/11 Home Milwaukee +6.5 W by 4 +10.5
01/13 Away New Orleans -2.5 W by 6 +3.5
01/14 Away Dallas +1.5 W by 9 +10.5
01/17 Home Washington -10.5 W by 6 -4.5
01/18 Home Charlotte +2.5 L by 23 -20.5
01/20 Home LA Lakers +3.5 L by 8 -4.5
01/22 Away Washington -6.5 W by 10 +3.5
01/23 Away Milwaukee +7.5 W by 2 +9.5
01/27 Home Detroit +7.5 L by 2 +5.5
01/29 Home Brooklyn -6.5 W by 4 -2.5
01/30 Home LA Clippers +2.5 W by 13 +15.5
02/01 Home Okla City +7.5 L by 10 -2.5
02/03 Away Detroit +5.5 L by 3 +2.5
02/04 Away New York +4.5 L by 7 -2.5
02/07 Away Chicago -9.5 W by 16 +6.5
02/09 Home Cleveland -2.5 L by 2 -4.5
02/11 Home Memphis -14.5 W by 6 -8.5
02/19 Away LA Clippers -4.5 L by 1 -5.5
02/20 Away Portland -1.5 W by 54 +52.5
02/22 Away Golden State -6.5 L by 11 -17.5
02/25 Home Boston -3.5 W by 19 +15.5
02/27 Away Okla City +6.5 L by 6 +0.5
03/01 Home Minnesota -2.5 L by 9 -11.5
03/02 Away Utah -11.5 W by 3 -8.5
03/05 Home LA Lakers -3.5 W by 7 +3.5
03/06 Home New York -1.5 L by 39 -40.5
03/09 Away Okla City +3.5 L by 3 +0.5
03/11 Home Houston -6.5 W by 36 +29.5
03/12 Away San Antonio +3.5 W by 5 +8.5
03/14 Away LA Lakers -1.5 L by 2 -3.5
03/17 Home Philadelphia -15.5 W by 28 +12.5
03/18 Away Memphis -12.5 L by 7 -19.5
03/20 Home Toronto -6.5 W by 6 -0.5
03/22 Home Portland -8.5 W by 16 +7.5
03/24 Away Phoenix -5.5 W by 2 -3.5
03/25 Home Dallas -10.5 W by 7 -3.5
03/27 Home Utah -19.5 W by 6 -13.5
03/29 Home Golden State -11.5 W by 23 +11.5
04/01 Away Utah -17.5 W by 13 -4.5
04/04 Home San Antonio +1.5 W by 2 +3.5
04/06 Home Portland -7.5 W by 5 -2.5
04/08 Home Memphis -23.5 W by 17 -6.5
04/10 Home Okla City -2.5 W by 20 +17.5
04/12 Away San Antonio +9.5 W by 10 +19.5

Golden State Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/21 Away LA Lakers -2.5 W by 10 +7.5
10/23 Home Denver -1.5 W by 6 +4.5
10/24 Away Portland -2.5 L by 20 -22.5
10/27 Home Memphis -8.0 W by 13 +5.0
10/28 Home LA Clippers +2.5 W by 19 +21.5
10/30 Away Milwaukee -7.5 L by 10 -17.5
11/01 Away Indiana -11.0 L by 5 -16.0
11/04 Home Phoenix -10.5 W by 11 +0.5
11/05 Away Sacramento +2.5 L by 5 -2.5
11/07 Away Denver +9.5 L by 25 -15.5
11/09 Home Indiana -12.5 W by 31 +18.5
11/11 Away Okla City +8.5 L by 24 -15.5
11/12 Away San Antonio +3.5 W by 5 +8.5
11/14 Away San Antonio +2.5 W by 1 +3.5
11/16 Away New Orleans -10.5 W by 18 +7.5
11/18 Away Orlando -2.5 L by 8 -10.5
11/19 Away Miami +9.5 L by 14 -4.5
11/21 Home Portland -10.5 L by 4 -14.5
11/24 Home Utah -13.5 W by 17 +3.5
11/26 Home Houston -3.5 L by 4 -7.5
11/29 Home New Orleans -9.5 W by 8 -1.5
12/02 Home Okla City +10.5 L by 12 -1.5
12/04 Away Philadelphia +4.5 L by 1 +3.5
12/06 Away Cleveland +9.5 W by 5 +14.5
12/07 Away Chicago -1.5 W by 32 +30.5
12/12 Home Minnesota -5.5 L by 7 -12.5
12/14 Away Portland -5.5 L by 5 -10.5
12/18 Away Phoenix -1.5 L by 1 -2.5
12/20 Home Phoenix -5.5 W by 3 -2.5
12/22 Home Orlando -6.5 W by 23 +16.5
12/25 Home Dallas -8.5 W by 10 +1.5
12/28 Away Toronto -4.5 L by 14 -18.5
12/29 Away Brooklyn -6.5 W by 13 +6.5
12/31 Away Charlotte -7.5 W by 7 -0.5
01/02 Home Okla City +13.5 L by 37 -23.5
01/03 Home Utah -12.5 W by 9 -3.5
01/05 Away LA Clippers -3.5 L by 1 -4.5
01/07 Home Milwaukee -6.5 W by 7 +0.5
01/09 Home Sacramento -14.5 W by 34 +19.5
01/11 Home Atlanta -7.5 L by 13 -20.5
01/13 Home Portland -11.5 W by 22 +10.5
01/15 Home New York -7.5 W by 13 +5.5
01/17 Home Charlotte -7.5 W by 20 +12.5
01/19 Home Miami -5.5 W by 23 +17.5
01/20 Home Toronto -4.5 L by 18 -22.5
01/22 Away Dallas -5.5 L by 8 -13.5
01/25 Away Minnesota +5.5 W by 26 +31.5
01/26 Away Minnesota +8.5 L by 25 -16.5
01/28 Away Utah -8.5 W by 16 +7.5
01/30 Home Detroit -2.5 L by 7 -9.5
02/03 Home Philadelphia -4.5 L by 19 -23.5
02/05 Away Phoenix +5.5 W by 4 +9.5
02/07 Away LA Lakers +2.5 L by 6 -3.5
02/09 Home Memphis -9.5 W by 1 -8.5
02/11 Home San Antonio +7.5 L by 13 -5.5
02/19 Home Boston +5.5 L by 11 -5.5
02/22 Home Denver +6.5 W by 11 +17.5
02/24 Away New Orleans -1.5 L by 4 -5.5
02/25 Away Memphis -4.5 W by 21 +16.5
02/28 Home LA Lakers +3.5 L by 28 -24.5
03/02 Home LA Clippers +1.5 L by 13 -11.5
03/05 Away Houston +9.5 W by 2 +11.5
03/07 Away Okla City +11.5 L by 7 +4.5
03/09 Away Utah -6.0 L by 3 -9.0
03/10 Home Chicago -5.5 L by 6 -11.5
03/13 Home Minnesota +4.5 L by 10 -5.5
03/15 Away New York +14.5 L by 3 +11.5
03/16 Away Washington -7.5 W by 8 +0.5
03/18 Away Boston +11.5 L by 21 -9.5
03/20 Away Detroit +6.5 L by 14 -7.5
03/21 Away Atlanta +7.5 L by 16 -8.5
03/23 Away Dallas -2.5 W by 6 +3.5
03/25 Home Brooklyn -12.5 W by 3 -9.5
03/27 Home Washington -12.5 W by 5 -7.5
03/29 Away Denver +11.5 L by 23 -11.5
04/01 Home San Antonio +14.5 L by 14 +0.5
04/02 Home Cleveland +9.5 L by 7 +2.5
04/05 Home Houston +3.5 L by 1 +2.5
04/07 Home Sacramento -14.5 W by 5 -9.5
04/09 Home LA Lakers -1.5 L by 16 -17.5
04/10 Away Sacramento -10.5 L by 6 -16.5
04/12 Away LA Clippers +3.5 L by 5 -1.5
04/15 Away LA Clippers +5.5 W by 5 +10.5